LA Dodgers (0-0) at Milwaukee (0-0)
When: Friday, October 12th 2018
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FS1
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -145/7
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been here before – one year ago to be exact – but the Milwaukee Brewers are trying to capture their first league championship since 1982, when they were part of the American League. The teams will start their seven-game series on Friday night at Miller Park in Milwaukee, with a trip to the Fall Classic at stake. The Dodgers will go with their ace Clayton Kershaw opposite fellow lefty Gio Gonzalez in the Game 1 matchup. Milwaukee comes in having won 11 games in a row – including a three-game sweep of the Colorado Rockies in the NL Division Series – and owns homefield advantage after posting the best record (96-67) in the NL. The Dodgers took care of the Atlanta Braves in four games and mashed eight homers in the process with shortstop Manny Machado and infielder Max Muncy each hitting two. The Dodgers won the season series 4-3 and hit seven homers in a 21-5 home victory August 2nd. Los Angeles 1B Cody Bellinger, who hit a grand slam in the August blowout, is hitless in 11 at-bats during the postseason, while Brewers outfielder and MVP-candidate Christian Yelich, batted .433 with two homers, one triple and four doubles in 30 at-bats against the Dodgers this season.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (1-0, 0.00 ERA) | Brewers – Gio Gonzalez (0-0, 0.00)
Kershaw put together one of his top postseason performances in the win over Atlanta with eight shutout innings as he improved to 8-7 with a 4.08 ERA in 25 career appearances (20 starts). Kershaw was 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in two outings against Milwaukee this season and stands 6-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 14 career starts against them.
Gonzalez will make his first appearance since September 30th after posting a 3-0 record with a 2.13 ERA in five starts after being acquired from the Washington Nationals. The lefty is 0-0 in six career postseason starts with 19 walks in only 26.1 innings. Gonzalez has fared well against the Dodgers by going 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA in six career outings.
I don’t care that Kershaw is pitching here. This Brewers team is for real and have it all going right now with 11 consecutive wins. Offense, pitching, defense – you name it. This will be an entertaining series for sure, but I think Milwaukee gets the win at home in Game 1.
Pick: Brewers +145
BETTING TRENDS:
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 League Championship games.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 26-9 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Dodgers are 28-11 in their last 39 overall.
- Dodgers are 28-11 in their last 39 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 37-15 in their last 52 games following an off day.
- Dodgers are 36-15 in their last 51 Friday games.
- Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 playoff games.
- Dodgers are 75-35 in their last 110 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 106-50 in their last 156 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 122-60 in their last 182 games following a win.
- Dodgers are 3-11 in their last 14 League Championship road games.
- Dodgers are 45-10 in Kershaw’s last 55 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 8-2 in Kershaw’s last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 42-11 in Kershaw’s last 53 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 17-5 in Kershaw’s last 22 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Dodgers are 53-16 in Kershaw’s last 69 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Dodgers are 72-22 in Kershaw’s last 94 starts.
- Dodgers are 71-22 in Kershaw’s last 93 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 41-13 in Kershaw’s last 54 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 44-15 in Kershaw’s last 59 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 20-7 in Kershaw’s last 27 Friday starts.
- Dodgers are 22-8 in Kershaw’s last 30 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 40-15 in Kershaw’s last 55 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in Kershaw’s last 7 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 36-15 in Kershaw’s last 51 road starts.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day.
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 14-3 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 23-6 in their last 29 overall.
- Brewers are 23-6 in their last 29 games on grass.
- Brewers are 41-13 in their last 54 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff home games.
- Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Brewers are 28-10 in their last 38 vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a win.
- Brewers are 24-9 in their last 33 Friday games.
- Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 51-24 in their last 75 home games.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 League Championship games.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 home starts.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 road games.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-3 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Dodgers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 League Championship road games.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 League Championship games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 playoff games.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Dodgers last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 16-5-1 in Dodgers last 22 Friday games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 games following an off day.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-1-2 in Dodgers last 6 playoff road games.
- Under is 16-7-2 in Dodgers last 25 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Kershaw’s last 8 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 7 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Kershaw’s last 5 road starts.
- Under is 6-2 in Kershaw’s last 8 Friday starts.
- Under is 27-11-2 in Kershaw’s last 40 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 44-20-2 in Kershaw’s last 66 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 League Championship games.
- Over is 12-5 in Brewers last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Kershaw’s last 6 road starts vs. Brewers.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 8 starts vs. Brewers.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in Kershaw’s last 7 road starts vs. Brewers.
