LA Dodgers (12-8) at Milwaukee (12-7)
When: Thursday, April 18th, 2019
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -108/9
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been one of the streakiest teams in the league, following a five-game winning streak with a six-game skid, but now have reeled-off four straight victories thanks to strong pitching and will head to Milwaukee for a four-game series with the Brewers beginning Thursday. The Dodgers dropped two of three at home last week to Milwaukee and this will conclude their regular season series after the teams played an epic seven-game series in last year’s NLCS. A.J. Pollock smacked a three-run homer in the sixth inning Wednesday to propel L.A. back to the NL West lead with a 3-2 win over Cincinnati. It was Los Angeles’ 32nd straight home game with a home run – tying a major league record. Milwaukee was denied a three-game sweep by dropping a 6-3 decision in the series finale against St. Louis on Wednesday, but Reigning NL Most Valuable Player Christian Yelich had a great series, going 6-for-12 with four homers and 11 RBIs versus the Cardinals after going 2-for-12 last week at Dodger Stadium. Former Los Angeles catcher Yasmani Grandal was 6-for-11 with a homer and three RBIs against his former team last weekend.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Julio Urias (0-1, 5.27 ERA) | Brewers – Zach Davies (2-0, 1.53)
Julio Urias had a terrific first start to 2019 but has been roughed up in his last two, including to this Brewers team who hit him for six runs on six hits in five innings of work including two home runs. Urias, who could be pitching to save his spot in the rotation, lasted only 3.2 innings and giving up three runs in a no-decision at Colorado on April 7th. He is 1-1 in three starts versus the Brewers.
Zach Davies will also make his fourth start and he’s been much better than Urias thus far, helping Milwaukee win all three games in which he has started. He pitched a season-high seven innings against the Dodgers, allowing one run on eight hits while striking out six in his last turn. Davies allowed two runs (zero earned) on five hits over 5.2 innings against the Chicago Cubs in his previous outing. He is 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA versus the Dodgers.
This will be another great series this weekend between these two World Series contenders, but Urias should not be favored on the road in this game tonight. Davies has been much better and Milwaukee is 7-3 at Miller Park this season, hitting .320 against lefties there. Take the home dog.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has for Thursday on his Free MLB Picks page. He is 35-23 +749 Units on the season after going 4-1 the last two days.
Pick: Brewers +110
BETTING TRENDS:
Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win.
Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 Thursday games.
Dodgers are 31-14 in their last 45 during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 103-49 in their last 152 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.
Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Dodgers are 6-1 in Urias’ last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Dodgers are 6-2 in Urias’ last 8 road starts.
Dodgers are 5-2 in Urias’ last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 2-5 in Urias’ last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Dodgers are 1-4 in Urias’ last 5 starts.
Dodgers are 1-4 in Urias’ last 5 starts on grass.
Dodgers are 1-5 in Urias’ last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 0-4 in Urias’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 14-4 in their last 18 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a loss.
Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Brewers are 37-14 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 21-8 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 51-21 in their last 72 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 Thursday games.
Brewers are 41-18 in their last 59 overall.
Brewers are 41-18 in their last 59 games on grass.
Brewers are 33-15 in their last 48 vs. National League West.
Brewers are 38-18 in their last 56 home games.
Brewers are 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 starts.
Brewers are 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 starts on grass.
Brewers are 5-1 in Davies’ last 6 starts vs. National League West.
Brewers are 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 home starts.
Brewers are 8-3 in Davies’ last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 3-9 in Davies’ last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 2-6 in Davies’ last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games following a win.
Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-2-1 in Dodgers last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 16-5-1 in Dodgers last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 8-3 in Dodgers last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 31-15-5 in Dodgers last 51 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1 in Urias’ last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Urias’ last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Urias’ last 5 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Urias’ last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-2 in Urias’ last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 8-2 in Brewers last 10 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-2-1 in Brewers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 9-3-1 in Brewers last 13 vs. National League West.
Under is 11-5-1 in Brewers last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 3-0-1 in Davies’ last 4 Thursday starts.
Under is 7-0-1 in Davies’ last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 14-2-1 in Davies’ last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 12-3-1 in Davies’ last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-2 in Davies’ last 9 home starts.
Under is 22-7-1 in Davies’ last 30 starts overall.
Under is 21-7-1 in Davies’ last 29 starts on grass.
Under is 6-2 in Davies’ last 8 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts vs. Dodgers.
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
