Chicago (81-57) at Milwaukee (79-61)
When: Wednesday, September 5th 2018
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: WGN, FS Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -125/9
If the Milwaukee Brewers want any shot at dethroning the Chicago Cubs in the National League Central, they knew they had to start by sweeping this week’s three-game series. Well, two down and one to go. After squeaking out a 4-3 on Labor Day, the Brewers used 10 hits and three Cubs’ errors to rout Chicago 11-1 to pull within three games of first place. Milwaukee, who has won three in a row overall, has the top NL Wild Card spot, 1.5 games ahead of St. Louis, and three games clear of the L.A. Dodgers. Brewers left fielder Christian Yelich, who is making a push to be considered NL MVP, has reached base in 21 consecutive games – the longest current streak in the National League. Chicago still leads the season series 9-6, but the Brewers have won five of the last six matchups. Milwaukee is just 29-31 in their own division and 40-23 against the rest of the NL. The Cubs have lost back-to-back games for the first time since dropping three straight from August 18-21. First baseman Anthony Rizzo left Tuesday’s game with a bruised foot, but X-rays were negative and he is day-to-day.
Pitchers: Cubs – Jose Quintana (11-9, 4.21 ERA) | Brewers – Jhoulys Chacin (14-5, 3.53)
Lefty Jose Quintana has delivered some of his best outings recently, posting a 2.25 ERA over his last three starts, but is still having a disappointing year. Quintana limited Philadelphia to one run and three hits over six innings in a no-decision Friday, striking out seven and walking one. He is 4-2 with a 1.67 ERA in eight career starts against Milwaukee.
Jhoulys Chacin will go for a career-best 15th victory on Wednesday and is coming off his 14th at Washington last time, allowing one run in 6.1 innings of work. Chacin’s streak of quality starts has reached five, including one against the Cubs on August 14th in which he had a season-high 10 strikeouts over seven scoreless innings. He is 4-4 with a 2.84 ERA in nine games (eight starts) against Chicago.
Milwaukee is building confidence with each win over Chicago and will look for the sweep Wednesday. Both pitchers have been good against the other team, but Chacin has been more consistent throughout the whole season. Look for Milwaukee to keep the bats going and sweep the Cubs.
Pick: Brewers -110
BETTING TRENDS:
- Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
- Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 games on grass.
- Cubs are 46-21 in their last 67 games following a loss.
- Cubs are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 5-1 in Quintana’s last 6 Wednesday starts.
- Cubs are 9-2 in Quintana’s last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-2 in Quintana’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cubs are 14-5 in Quintana’s last 19 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Cubs are 9-4 in Quintana’s last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 2-5 in Quintana’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cubs are 1-4 in Quintana’s last 5 starts.
- Cubs are 1-4 in Quintana’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 0-4 in Quintana’s last 4 road starts.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 8-2 in Chacin’s last 10 home starts.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 7-2 in Chacin’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 12-4 in Chacin’s last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Chacin’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 11-2 in Cubs last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 Wednesday games.
- Under is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 road games.
- Under is 19-7 in Cubs last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Quintana’s last 5 road starts.
- Over is 8-1 in Quintana’s last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-3 in Quintana’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 Wednesday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.
- Over is 12-4 in Brewers last 16 games following a win.
- Over is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 11-4 in Brewers last 15 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 overall.
- Over is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 on grass.
- Over is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 19-8-1 in Brewers last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 home starts.
- Over is 9-4 in Chacin’s last 13 starts on grass.
- Over is 9-4 in Chacin’s last 13 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Quintana’s last 6 starts vs. Brewers.
- Cubs are 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts vs. Brewers.
- Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.
- Under is 34-15-2 in the last 51 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cubs are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
- Cubs are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.
