Chiefs vs Jaguars Odds and Free Prediction [10/6/25]

Kansas City (2-2) at Jacksonville (3-1)
When: Monday, October 6th 2025
Where: EverBank Stadium,
Jacksonville, FL

Time: 8:15 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Kansas City -3.5/44.5

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Chiefs vs Jaguars Recent Meetings

DateAway/HomeLineATSTotRusPasTotRusPas
8/10/24KC (13) - JAC (26)-2.5/40JAC/U290106184367102265
9/17/23KC (17) - JAC (9)3/50KC/U39910129827174197
1/21/23JAC (20) - KC (27)-10/51.5JAC/U362144218349144205
11/13/22JAC (17) - KC (27)-10/51.5P/U48615533131575240
9/8/19KC (40) - JAC (26)3.5/49KC/O49111337842881347
10/7/18JAC (14) - KC (30)-3/48KC/U424126298502101401
11/6/16JAC (14) - KC (19)-7/42.5JAC/U23162169449205244
9/8/13KC (28) - JAC (2)3.5/42.5KC/U29212117117871107
10/24/10JAC (20) - KC (42)-9/38.5KC/O42623619030084216
11/8/09KC (21) - JAC (24)-7/41.5KC/O30160241426173253
Courtesy of Don Best Sports

Chiefs Injury Report

Player Status/Updated
Omarr Norman-LottDTQues Oct 6 - Shoulder - 10/4/25
Kristian FultonCBQues Oct. 06 - Ankle - 9/28/25
Mike DannaDEQues Oct. 06 - Quadricep - 9/28/25
Jared WileyTEQues Oct. 06 - Hamstring - 9/28/25
Rashee RiceWRMid Oct - Suspension - 8/27/25
Jake BriningstoolTEOut indefinitely - Hamstring - 8/28/25
Ethan DriskellOTOut indefinitely - Appendix - 8/28/25
Brandon GeorgeLBout for season - Undisclosed - 8/27/25
Nazeeh JohnsonSOut indefinitely - Shoulder - 8/28/25
Felix Anudike-UzomahDEout for season - Hamstring - 10/3/25
Janarius RobinsonDEout for season - Foot - 10/3/25
Deon BushSout for season - Hamstring - 8/12/25
Courtesy of Don Best Sports

Jaguars Injury Report

Player Status/Updated
Anton HarrisonOLQues Oct 6 - Elbow - 10/3/25
Chuma EdogaOLQues Oct 6 - Knee - 10/3/25
Ezra ClevelandOLQues Oct 6 - Concussion - 10/3/25
Patrick MekariOLQues Oct 6 - Knee - 10/3/25
Bhayshul TutenRBQues Oct 6 - Shoulder - 10/3/25
Dyami BrownWRQues Oct. 06 - Shoulder - 9/28/25
Travon WalkerDEQues Oct. 06 - Wrist - 9/28/25
Eric MurraySQues Oct. 06 - Neck - 9/28/25
Yasir AbdullahLBQues Oct. 06 - Hamstring - 9/28/25
Wyatt MilumOLQues Oct 06 - Knee - 9/28/25
Cole Van LanenOLQues Oct. 06 - Shoulder - 9/28/25
Joshua CephusWRout for season - Undisclosed - 8/28/25
Caleb RansawDBout for season - Lower Body - 8/28/25
Jalen McLeodLBEarly Oct - Lower Body - 9/1/25
Maason SmithDTOut indefinitely - Undisclosed - 7/24/25
Cooper HodgesOLOut indefinitely - Knee - 7/24/25
Courtesy of Don Best Sports


Prediction

Look out for the Chiefs. After starting the season 0-2, Kansas City has gotten healthier and appear to be hitting their stride. Getting Xavier Worthy back was key and the offense is clicking again behind Mahomes. He has seven TDs to just one interception and the Chiefs put 37 up on Baltimore last week at home. Jacksonville is off to a 3-1 start but their schedule has been very easy: Carolina, Houston, Cincinnati and San Francisco. Mahomes has 27 touchdowns to eight interceptions on MNF and is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS against the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence has already thrown four interceptions this season and I can see him turning it over at least once or twice against this K.C. defense. I know the Chiefs are a big public play, but it’s hard not to take them.

Pick: Chiefs -3.5

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