Kansas City (8-3) at Atlanta (7-4)
When: Sunday, December 4th 2016
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Time: 1:00 ET | TV: CBS
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Two teams jockeying for playoff position meet in Week 13 as the Atlanta Falcons host the Kansas City Chiefs at the Georgia Dome. K.C. is coming off a dramatic 30-27 overtime win at Denver on Sunday night to move one game ahead of Denver for the top Wild Card spot in the AFC, while staying one behind Oakland for the division lead. The Chiefs have won a remarkable 18 of their last 21 regular season games and their doing it with turnovers. They are forcing an NFL-best 24 takeaways this season including 14 in their last seven games. They also posses a solid pass rush lead by Justin Houston and Dee Ford. The offense is mediocre at best and they’ve topped 300 yards just once in the last four games. The Chiefs have missed star receiver Jeremy Maclin, who has been sidelined for three straight games with a groin injury, but rookie speedster Tyreek Hill has picked-up the slack. Last week, Hill became the first player since Gale Sayers in 1965 to record rushing, receiving and return touchdowns in the same game. The Chiefs have not topped 100 yards rushing in their last five games after doing so three times in their first six. The Chiefs return home next week for three straight games before finishing the season in San Diego.
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The Falcons 7-4 record is good for first-place in the NFC South – one game ahead of surging Tampa Bay. This will be Atlanta’s toughest test the rest of the regular season as their remaining schedule includes teams that are all currently under .500. The Falcons have won three of their last four after last week’s impressive 38-19 win over Arizona. Atlanta has scored 30 or more points in four of their last five and lead the NFL in points scored (32.5). Atlanta’s offense is one of the best in the league and features a prolific duo in quarterback Matt Ryan and receiver Julio Jones. Ryan has passed for 2,307 yards with 15 touchdowns and four interceptions in his last seven home games. Jones leads the league in receiving yards (1,140) and recorded 108 and two touchdowns in Atlanta’s 40-24 win at Kansas City in 2012. The backfield combination of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman gives the Falcons a great balance on offense that haven’t had in the past. Atlanta’s biggest weakness is their pass defense, which ranks last in the league but has held three of its last four opponents under 300 passing yards.
Despite ranking 27th in offense and 28th in defense, the Chiefs just keep on winning. The turnover battle is huge in football and Kansas City seems to win that every week. Atlanta is playing well right now, but the Chiefs defense is good enough to slow them down and keep this one close. I’ll take the points.
Pick: Chiefs +5.5
