Cleveland (0-0) at Golden State (0-0)
When: Thursday, June 1st 2017
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
Time: 9:05 ET | TV: ABC
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The long wait is over. The teams are well rested and basketball fans across the country are anticipating the ‘rubber-series’ of this great new rivalry between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry led Golden State to the NBA title in 2015 over the Cavaliers, but then had a sub-par performance in the 2016 Finals as the Warriors blew a 3-1 series lead and LeBron James and company won the franchise’s first championship. Golden State is 12-0 this postseason and viewed as heavy favorites in Finals matchup No. 3 with -270 odds at most shops in Vegas and in the offshore sportsbooks. Golden State hasn’t lived down the memory of blowing that 3-1 lead in last season’s finals. The turning point in that series was not necessarily their play, but the one-game suspension handed to Draymond Green after a flagrant foul for kicking James in the groin during Game 4. Small forward Kevin Durant (25.2 average) has added to the dominance of the Golden State squad while Curry (28.6) has once again been leading the postseason charge. Shooting guard Klay Thompson is averaging a just 14.4 points on 38.3% shooting in the postseason but he scored 25 or more three times – including a high of 37 – in last year’s Finals. Mike Brown, who formerly coached the Cavaliers, is still serving as coach of the Warriors while Steve Kerr deals with his back recovery woes.
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The Cavaliers are 12-1 this postseason and are the defending champs, but are +225 to win the series which baffles power forward Kevin Love. “The whole underdog thing is funny to me, because, yeah, at the end of the day we are defending our title,” Love told reporters. “We’re trying to repeat, which is so hard to do. I think we will use it as fuel, we will use it as motivation, but the idea of playing into it? It’s tough for me to say that is the case. I don’t feel like we’re underdogs.” James averaged 29.7 points, 11.3 rebounds and 8.9 assists in last season’s Finals and has been even better this postseason with averages of 32.5 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. Point guard Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.5 points in the playoffs while Love is contributing 17.2 points and 10.4 rebounds. Love recorded double-doubles in all five games of the Eastern Conference finals against the Boston Celtics as he averaged 22.6 points and 12.4 rebounds against them. The Cavaliers will probably need a few of their role players to get going if they want to repeat as champions. Sharp-shooter Kyle Korver (6.4 postseason average) and guards J.R. Smith (6.6) and Iman Shumpert (4.7) have not contributed much this postseason – but in all fairness – they haven’t need to.
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The 2017 postseason has been mostly a snore-fest with blowouts all over the place and not real challengers to Cleveland or Golden State. Despite the Warriors being heavy favorites, I see this series going six or seven games. Cleveland has plenty of offense to keep up with the Warriors and seven points is a lot to give in the opening game.
Pick: Cavaliers +7
ATS TRENDS
| Cleveland |
- Cavaliers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cavaliers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Cavaliers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cavaliers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
- Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NBA Championship games.
- Cavaliers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Cavaliers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Cavaliers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cavaliers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Cavaliers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
- Cavaliers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Cavaliers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
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| Golden State |
- Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Warriors are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
- Warriors are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
- Warriors are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
- Warriors are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
- Warriors are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 Thursday games.
- Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NBA Championship games.
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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OU TRENDS
| Cleveland |
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cavaliers last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
- Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Cavaliers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 26-9-1 in Cavaliers last 36 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 15-6 in Cavaliers last 21 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Over is 26-11-1 in Cavaliers last 38 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3-2 in Cavaliers last 12 NBA Championship games.
- Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 29-14-1 in Cavaliers last 44 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
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| Golden State |
- Over is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. NBA Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Warriors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 20-7 in Warriors last 27 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 7-3-2 in Warriors last 12 NBA Championship games.
- Under is 28-13-2 in Warriors last 43 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 8-1-2 in the last 11 meetings in Golden State.
- Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
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