St Louis (8-5) vs Cincinnati (4-8)
When: Saturday, April 13th, 2019
Where: Estadio de Beisbol,
Monterrey, Mexico
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FS Midwest, FS Ohio
Opening Odds: St Louis -109/9
The Cincinnati Reds made a lot of moves in the offseason in order to compete in the competitive National League Central and the team is starting to click after a disastrous start to 2019. After beating the Pittsburgh Pirates on Opening Day, the Reds proceeded to drop their next eight games, scoring a total of 16 runs and being shutout four times. A visit from Miami this week cured those woes as they outscored the Marlins 21-1 in sweeping a three-game set. They will now take on their division-rival St. Louis Cardinals for a two-game series in Monterrey, Mexico beginning Saturday night. The Cardinals also started off slow, but are coming off an impressive four-game sweep of the previously red-hot Los Angeles Dodgers. St. Louis outscored the Dodgers 26-12 including an 11-7 slugfest on Thursday to extend their winning streak to six. The Cardinals boast the only Mexican-born player on either roster in Giovanny Gallegos, and he’s looking forward to playing in the 27,000 seat Estadio de Beisbol stadium. “So many people in Mexico will enjoy those games,” said Gallegos. “It’s good for the kids because so many people in Mexico, they can’t come to the U.S. to watch big league games.” Cardinals’ shortstop Paul DeJong was 9-for-13 with eight runs scored versus the Dodgers and is currently riding a nine-game hitting streak.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Adam Wainwright (1-0, 4.50 ERA) | Reds – Tanner Roark (0-0, 5.79)
Adam Wainwright seeks his 150th victory in his career and is coming off an impressive outing against the San Diego Padres last time out. The veteran right allowed just one run over six innings while striking out nine Padres after he was hit hard by the Pirates in his season debut. Wainwright has never fared well against Cincinnati, posting a 9-11 record and 5.09 ERA in 29 appearances (24 starts).
Tanner Roark will make his third start of the season and is looking for his first decision with his new team. The former Washington National has allowed three runs in each of his first two starts – a pair of no-decisions versus Milwaukee and Pittsburgh. Roark is 2-3 with a 6.58 ERA in seven appearances (five starts) versus the Reds.
The Reds are coming in with some confidence after their three-game sweep, but that was the Miami Marlins. The Cardinals are coming off a more impressive sweep themselves and should be able to get to Roark early and often here.
Bobby Babowski has three plays today on his Free MLB Picks page. He is 27-16 +896 Units on the season after a 2-1 Friday.
Pick: Cardinals -125
BETTING TRENDS:
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 39-16 in their last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cardinals are 23-11 in their last 34 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games.
Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 22-4 in Wainwright’s last 26 Saturday starts.
Cardinals are 7-2 in Wainwright’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cardinals are 44-14 in Wainwright’s last 58 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 42-14 in Wainwright’s last 56 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cardinals are 21-7 in Wainwright’s last 28 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 38-14 in Wainwright’s last 52 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 38-15 in Wainwright’s last 53 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 37-16 in Wainwright’s last 53 starts vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 42-20 in Wainwright’s last 62 starts.
Cardinals are 42-20 in Wainwright’s last 62 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 35-17 in Wainwright’s last 52 starts with 5 days of rest.
Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 29-65 in their last 94 vs. National League Central.
Reds are 7-16 in their last 23 during game 1 of a series.
Reds are 20-46 in their last 66 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Reds are 8-20 in their last 28 overall.
Reds are 8-20 in their last 28 games on grass.
Reds are 6-16 in their last 22 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win.
Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games following an off day.
Over is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last 7 vs. National League Central.
Over is 12-3 in Cardinals last 15 games following a win.
Over is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 19-7-1 in Cardinals last 27 overall.
Over is 19-7-1 in Cardinals last 27 on grass.
Over is 19-7-1 in Cardinals last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-2 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 3-0-1 in Wainwright’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 3-0-1 in Wainwright’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-1-1 in Wainwright’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2 in Wainwright’s last 8 Saturday starts.
Over is 10-4-1 in Wainwright’s last 15 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 11-5-2 in Wainwright’s last 18 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 games following a win.
Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Reds last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 16-5 in Reds last 21 vs. National League Central.
Under is 15-5-1 in Reds last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-3 in Reds last 11 games following an off day.
Under is 9-4 in Reds last 13 Saturday games.
Under is 36-17-1 in Reds last 54 overall.
Under is 36-17-1 in Reds last 54 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Wainwright’s last 4 starts vs. Reds.
Cardinals are 19-8 in the last 27 meetings.
Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
