St Louis (71-58) at Milwaukee (67-63)
When: Monday, August 26, 2019
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, WI
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -120/10
The streaky St. Louis Cardinals have certainly had their way within their own division and they’ll get a chance to extend their lead when they visit another NL Central rival in the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday. St. Louis completed a seven-game homestand by taking two of three from the Brewers then sweeping the Colorado Rockies in four games after Sunday’s 11-4 thumping to increase their lead over the Chicago Cubs to 2.5 games. The lead is 4.5 over Milwaukee as St. Louis has won 14 of their last 17 overall and are 18-6 against division foes since the All-Star Break, when they were a 44-44 team. The Cardinals’ 5-3 rain-shortened loss to the Brewers in the series finale last week was their only loss on the homestand and first since August 17th against the Cincinnati Reds. Milwaukee followed the Cardinals’ series last week by taking two of three from Arizona over the weekend, dropping the series finale on Sunday 5-2. Outfielder Christian Yelich stole his 25th base Sunday, becoming the youngest player to record 40 homers and 25 steals in a season since Atlanta’s Chipper Jones in 1999. Veterans Adam Wainwright and Gio Gonzalez will take the mound in Monday’s series opener.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51 ERA) | Brewers – Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64)
Wainwright will face the Brewers for the third time this season and second in less than a week after getting tagged for five runs on eight hits and four walks in the rain-shortened setback last Wednesday. It was the third time in four meetings that St. Louis had lost to Milwaukee when Wainwright starts, after they had won five in a row such meetings dating back to 2015. Wainwright, who is 3-6 with a 6.64 ERA in 12 road starts this season, is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two starts this season against the Brew Crew.
Gonzalez is winless over his last eight starts and part of that is due to the fact that he can barely reach the five qualified innings to get credit for a victory. Milwaukee is 5-3 in those eight starts including a loss at St. Louis last week in which the lefty allowed one run on three hits and four walks over six innings. Gonzalez is 3-4 with a 3.11 ERA in 11 career starts against St. Louis.
I really don’t have much confidence with either pitcher in this one, but I’ll give the edge to the red-hot Cardinals. They have not only dominated the NL Central, but they’ve won six of the last seven against the Brewers with the only loss coming in a rain-shortened game last week that they were starting to rally in. Wainwright has not been good on the road but has pitched pretty well in Milwaukee over the last few years.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 116-80 +2413 units on the season after a 17-7 run!
Pick: Cardinals +115
BETTING TRENDS:
Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 8-1 in their last 9 Monday games.
Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 overall.
Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 games on grass.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 6-21 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright’s last 4 Monday starts.
Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 road starts.
Cardinals are 7-2 in Wainwright’s last 9 starts.
Cardinals are 7-2 in Wainwright’s last 9 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 41-16 in Wainwright’s last 57 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 47-19 in Wainwright’s last 66 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cardinals are 38-18 in Wainwright’s last 56 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 44-21 in Wainwright’s last 65 starts vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 25-12 in Wainwright’s last 37 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 3-7 in Wainwright’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 0-7 in Wainwright’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Brewers are 16-7 in their last 23 Monday games.
Brewers are 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 9-1 in Gonzalez’s last 10 home starts.
Brewers are 5-1 in Gonzalez’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 7-2 in Gonzalez’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 7-2 in Gonzalez’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Brewers are 14-5 in Gonzalez’s last 19 starts.
Brewers are 14-5 in Gonzalez’s last 19 starts on grass.
Brewers are 5-2 in Gonzalez’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 road games.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 Monday games.
Under is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-3-2 in Cardinals last 14 vs. National League Central.
Under is 24-8-1 in Cardinals last 33 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 17-7-1 in Cardinals last 25 overall.
Under is 17-7-1 in Cardinals last 25 on grass.
Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games following a win.
Under is 3-0-1 in Wainwright’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 8-1-2 in Wainwright’s last 11 Monday starts.
Under is 6-1 in Wainwright’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Wainwright’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 20-8-2 in Wainwright’s last 30 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-2 in Brewers last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 games following a loss.
Under is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 24-9-1 in Brewers last 34 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-2 in Gonzalez’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 9-4 in Gonzalez’s last 13 starts on grass.
Under is 9-4 in Gonzalez’s last 13 starts overall.
Cardinals are 6-0 in Wainwright’s last 6 road starts vs. Brewers.
Cardinals are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in Wainwright’s last 6 road starts vs. Brewers.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in Wainwright’s last 8 starts vs. Brewers.
Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee.
Cardinals are 12-5 in Wainwright’s last 17 starts vs. Brewers.
Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
