Tampa Bay (3-1) at Atlanta (2-2)
When: Thursday, October 3rd 2024
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium,
Atlanta, GA
Time: 8:15 ET | TV: Prime
Opening Odds: Atlanta -3/43.5
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Bucs vs Falcons Recent Meetings
| Date | Away/Home | Line | ATS | Tot | Rus | Pas | Tot | Rus | Pas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/23 | TB (29) - ATL (25) | -1/41.5 | TB/O | 290 | 148 | 142 | 434 | 96 | 338 |
| 10/22/23 | ATL (16) - TB (13) | -3/37.5 | ATL/U | 329 | 73 | 256 | 401 | 156 | 245 |
| 1/8/23 | TB (17) - ATL (30) | -6/40.5 | ATL/O | 222 | 86 | 136 | 382 | 174 | 208 |
| 10/9/22 | ATL (15) - TB (21) | -10.5/46.5 | ATL/U | 420 | 69 | 351 | 261 | 151 | 110 |
| 12/5/21 | TB (30) - ATL (17) | 11/51 | TB/U | 425 | 57 | 368 | 380 | 121 | 259 |
| 9/19/21 | ATL (25) - TB (48) | -13.5/52 | TB/O | 341 | 82 | 259 | 348 | 55 | 293 |
| 1/3/21 | ATL (27) - TB (44) | -7.5/51.5 | TB/O | 485 | 94 | 391 | 385 | 127 | 258 |
| 12/20/20 | TB (31) - ATL (27) | 6/49.5 | ATL/O | 416 | 51 | 365 | 369 | 37 | 332 |
| 12/29/19 | ATL (28) - TB (22) | -1/48 | ATL/O | 329 | 136 | 193 | 373 | 87 | 286 |
| 11/24/19 | TB (35) - ATL (22) | -3.5/51.5 | TB/O | 446 | 133 | 313 | 337 | 57 | 280 |
Tampa Bay Bucs Injury Report
| Player | Status/Updated | |
|---|---|---|
| Vita Vea | NT | day-to-day - Knee - 9/30/24 |
| William Gholston | DL | day-to-day - Knee - 9/30/24 |
| Tristan Wirfs | OT | day-to-day - Knee - 9/30/24 |
| Ko Kieft | TE | day-to-day - Ankle - 9/30/24 |
| Kameron Johnson | WR | day-to-day - Ankle - 9/30/24 |
| Greg Gaines | DL | day-to-day - Ankle - 9/30/24 |
| Mike Evans | WR | day-to-day - Shoulder - 9/29/24 |
| Trey Palmer | WR | day-to-day - Concussion - 9/29/24 |
| Jalen McMillan | WR | day-to-day - Hamstring - 9/29/24 |
| Luke Goedeke | OT | day-to-day - Concussion - 9/29/24 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. | S | day-to-day - Ankle - 9/29/24 |
| Calijah Kancey | DL | day-to-day - Calf - 9/29/24 |
| Kaevon Merriweather | S | day-to-day - Knee - 9/29/24 |
| Tyrek Funderburk | CB | day-to-day - Foot - 9/29/24 |
| Bryce Hall | CB | Out indefinitely - Ankle - 9/9/24 |
| Evan Deckers | LS | Late October - Hamstring - 9/24/24 |
| Sua Opeta | G | Out indefinitely - Knee - 8/31/24 |
| Chase Edmonds | RB | I-R - Knee - 8/27/24 |
| Rakim Jarrett | WR | Mid October - Undisclosed - 8/31/24 |
| Silas Dzansi | OT | out of season - Knee - 9/25/24 |
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
| Player | Status/Updated | |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | RB | day-to-day - Hamstring - 9/30/24 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud III | WR | day-to-day - Ankle - 9/30/24 |
| Troy Andersen | LB | day-to-day - Knee - 9/29/24 |
| Jase McCLellan | RB | day-to-day - Knee - 9/29/24 |
| Kaleb McGary | OT | Out indefinitely - Knee - 9/23/24 |
| DeMarcco Hellams | S | Mid Oct - Ankle - 9/17/24 |
| Bralen Trice | LB | Out indefinitely - Knee - 8/26/24 |
| Harrison Hand | DB | out of season - Knee - 8/11/24 |
| Rondale Moore | WR | out for season - Knee - 9/13/24 |
| Drew Dalman | OL | Out indefinitely - Ankle - 9/24/24 |
| Nate Landman | LB | Mid Oct - Calf - 9/16/24 |
Prediction
The Falcons pulled out a win last week against New Orleans, but the offense continues to sputter under Kirk Cousins. Atlanta won the game without scoring an offensive touchdown. Tampa Bay’s offense has been terrific under Baker Mayfield outside of the Denver game, but now we know the Broncos have a very good defense. The Bucs aren’t afraid to go into hostile environments and are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. Meanwhile, Atlanta is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 at home. Bijan Robinson is questionable for the Falcons and that would make this an even stronger play for me on the Bucs if he doesn’t go.
Pick: Bucs +1.5
