Atlanta (49-34) at NY Mets (37-46)
When: Saturday, June 29th, 2019
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: FS South, SNY
Opening Odds: New York -117/9
The season continues to spiral out of control for the New York Mets and not even their ace can stop the losing skid. Jacob deGrom allowed three runs over six innings while the bullpen surrendered another three in the 6-2 loss to the Atlanta Braves on Friday to open-up their three-game series at Citi Field. It was the season-worst sixth loss in a row for the Mets, who fell 12 games behind Atlanta in the NL East. Despite all the losing and the rough season, Pete Alonso continues to be the bright spot, as the rookie belted his 28th home run to tie Mark McGwire for the most by a first year player before July 1st. Alonso also accepted an invitation to compete in this year’s Home Run Derby during the All-Star Break. Speaking of All-Stars, Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman reached base four times on Friday and has multiple hits in nine of his last 16 games as the Braves increased their lead over second place Philadelphia to 5.5 games. Johan Camargo delivered a three-run double, while rookie Austin Riley mashed his 13th homer to give Atlanta their 16th win in 21 games. New York’s Steven Matz hopes to end the team’s losing streak when he goes up against Julio Teheran.
Pitchers: Braves – Julio Teheran (5-6, 3.94 ERA) | Mets – Steven Matz (5-6, 4.85)
Teheran looks to get back on track after two horrible outings that included a loss to the Mets on June 18th. In that game, Teheran allowed six runs over four innings and allowed seven runs and nine hits most recently against the Chicago Cubs. He was unbeaten in his previous eight starts and never allowed more than three runs in any of those outings. Teheran did have a solid start back in April against the Mets when he allowed one run over six innings.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Matz has not been much better than Teheran lately and the Mets have lost four of his last five starts. He gave up seven runs and 10 hits over 4.1 innings at Philadelphia last time out and five runs over five innings in a loss to the Braves on June 19th. Matz has been much better at home, posting a 3-0 mark and 2.25 ERA and New York is 5-1 in his six home starts. Matz beat the Braves with six innings of two-run ball in April while striking out eight.
Let’s see. I’m getting the first place Braves, who are on a 16-5 run, at almost even money against a Mets squad who can’t do anything right. Yes, please, give me Atlanta. Teheran has been shaky lately, but he’s done enough good this season to warrant another chance.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 85-57 +1888 units on the season after a 5-1 run!
Pick: Braves -108
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Braves are 9-3 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 Saturday games.
Braves are 18-6 in their last 24 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.
Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 games on grass.
Braves are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Braves are 49-23 in their last 72 vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 8-1 in Teheran’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 6-1 in Teheran’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 5-2 in Teheran’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Braves are 10-4 in Teheran’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 7-3 in Teheran’s last 10 starts.
Braves are 7-3 in Teheran’s last 10 starts on grass.
Braves are 13-27 in Teheran’s last 40 starts during game 2 of a series.
Braves are 6-14 in Teheran’s last 20 Saturday starts.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Mets are 8-17 in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 games on grass.
Mets are 6-0 in Matz’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 7-1 in Matz’s last 8 home starts.
Mets are 6-1 in Matz’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Mets are 12-4 in Matz’s last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 5-11 in Matz’s last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 2-5 in Matz’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 9-2-1 in Braves last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 13-3-1 in Braves last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 road games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games following a win.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 9-3 in Braves last 12 Saturday games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League East.
Over is 22-8-2 in Braves last 32 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 11-4-1 in Braves last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-2-1 in Braves last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Teheran’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-0 in Teheran’s last 7 road starts.
Under is 5-1 in Teheran’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Teheran’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Teheran’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 7-2 in Teheran’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Teheran’s last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-3 in Teheran’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 10-4 in Teheran’s last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 3-0-2 in Mets last 5 Saturday games.
Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 8-1-4 in Mets last 13 games following a loss.
Over is 7-1-3 in Mets last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 5-1-3 in Mets last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-2-4 in Mets last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-3 in Mets last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-2-2 in Mets last 11 vs. National League East.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 home games.
Over is 12-4-2 in Mets last 18 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 11-4-3 in Mets last 18 overall.
Over is 11-4-3 in Mets last 18 on grass.
Over is 10-4-3 in Mets last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 2-0-2 in Matz’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Matz’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1-2 in Matz’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-3-1 in Matz’s last 15 Saturday starts.
Over is 3-1-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 11-4-1 in Matz’s last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 18-7-1 in Matz’s last 26 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 14-6-2 in Matz’s last 22 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings in New York.
Braves are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in New York.
Braves are 5-2 in Teheran’s last 7 road starts vs. Mets.
