Toronto (37-44) at NY Yankees (43-37)
When: Monday, July 3rd 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: Sportsnet, YES
Opening Odds: New York -132/9.5
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The New York Yankees return from a 3-4 road trip and will try and turn things around when they host the cellar-dwelling Toronto Blue Jays on Monday night to begin a three-game set in the Bronx. Aaron Judge became the first New York Yankees player under the age of 26 to be voted an All-Star starter since Willie Randolph in 1973 on Sunday and will be joined by C Gary Sanchez, 2B Starlin Castro and pitchers Luis Severino and Dellin Betances on the team. New York has lost 14 of its last 19 games overall to slip three games behind the rival Boston Red Sox despite having five AL All-Stars. The Yankees dropped two of three in Houston over the weekend including yesterday’s 8-1 setback. The Blue Jays won eight of nine to end the month of May, but they couldn’t keep the momentum going in June. They spent their weekend getting swept by the Red Sox, capped by a 15-1 drubbing on Sunday, and are losers of four straight and eight of their last 10 games. The only good news Toronto received on Sunday was that 1B Justin Smoak was voted an All-Star starter and is the team’s lone representative, but he’s 0-for-11 in his career against tonight’s starter Masahiro Tanaka. In fact, current Blue Jays’ batters are hitting only .167 against Tanaka in 126 at-bats.
Pitchers: Blue Jays – Marcus Stroman (8-4, 3.41 ERA) | Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (6-7, 5.56)
Marcus Stroman has one of his best outings of the year last time out, scattering five hits and one walk while striking out eight in 7.2 scoreless innings to earn a win over the Baltimore Orioles. Stroman was rocked for seven runs in four innings at Texas on June 22nd but has surrendered three or fewer runs in five of his last six starts. Stroman allowed two runs and five hits in six innings against New York on June 4th and is 5-2 with a 2.91 ERA in 10 career starts versus the Yankees.
Tanaka has rebounded from a tough start to the season and recorded his first win since early May with a win over the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday. Tanaka, who tossed eight scoreless innings without factoring in the decision on June 23rd against Texas, scattered two runs and six hits over six innings at Chicago to earn the win last time out. Tanaka was not at his best against Toronto on May 2nd but still managed a win while surrendering four runs in 6.1 innings.
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Tanaka has been solid in his last two starts as he attempts to put his early season woes behind him. The Blue Jays have just been bad all season and are in another funk and rank 27th overall in runs scored. Look for New York to improve on their 24-13 home record.
Pick: Yankees -125
W/L TRENDS
| Toronto |
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 15-2 in their last 17 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in Stroman’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Blue Jays are 8-2 in Stroman’s last 10 starts.
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in Stroman’s last 7 road starts.
- Blue Jays are 5-11 in Stroman’s last 16 starts on grass.
- Blue Jays are 4-10 in Stroman’s last 14 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 2-6 in Stroman’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stroman’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games.
- Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 69-30 in their last 99 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Yankees are 17-8 in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Yankees are 21-10 in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-14 in their last 19 overall.
- Yankees are 5-14 in their last 19 games on grass.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 2-11 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 1-10 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 Monday starts.
- Yankees are 17-4 in Tanaka’s last 21 home starts.
- Yankees are 8-2 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 22-6 in Tanaka’s last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 17-5 in Tanaka’s last 22 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 26-10 in Tanaka’s last 36 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 10-4 in Tanaka’s last 14 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 28-13 in Tanaka’s last 41 starts.
- Yankees are 39-19 in Tanaka’s last 58 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 2-5 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 2-5 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 1-5 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| Toronto |
- Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 Monday games.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-8-2 in Blue Jays last 31 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 15-6-1 in Blue Jays last 22 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 38-18-2 in Blue Jays last 58 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Stroman’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Stroman’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Stroman’s last 6 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Stroman’s last 21 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 12-4 in Stroman’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3 in Stroman’s last 11 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-2 in Stroman’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Stroman’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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| NY Yankees |
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 10-2 in Yankees last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 22-8 in Yankees last 30 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 10-4 in Yankees last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 Monday games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 6-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 Monday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-5 in Tanaka’s last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 9-1 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Under is 6-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 home starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Under is 5-1 in Stroman’s last 6 starts vs. Yankees.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Blue Jays are 7-2 in Stroman’s last 9 starts vs. Yankees.
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
- Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 home starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Blue Jays are 18-38 in the last 56 meetings in New York.
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