Toronto (2-2) at Seattle (2-2)
When: Friday, October 17th 2025
Where: T-Mobile Park,
Seattle, WA
Time: 6:08 ET | TV: FS1
Opening Odds: Toronto -115/8
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Blue Jays vs Mariners Recent Meetings
Kevin Guasman L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/25 | SEA | S | L | 1-3 | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 13.4 | 1.67 |
| 10/4/25 | NYY | S | W | 10-1 | 5.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 75 | 13.2 | 1.67 |
| 9/28/25 | TB | S | ND | 13-4 | 3.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 85 | 23.2 | .00 |
| 9/23/25 | BOS | S | L | 1-4 | 5.2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 16.2 | .60 |
| 9/17/25 | @ TB | S | ND | 1-2 | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 95 | 15.8 | 1.33 |
| 9/11/25 | HOU | S | W | 6-0 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 11.1 | 1.80 |
| 9/5/25 | @ NYY | S | W | 7-1 | 8.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 105 | 13.1 | 1.50 |
| 8/30/25 | MIL | S | ND | 1-4 | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 13.7 | 1.33 |
| 8/24/25 | @ MIA | S | L | 3-5 | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 94 | 15.7 | 2.00 |
| 8/18/25 | @ PIT | S | ND | 2-5 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 96 | 19.2 | .00 |
Bryce Miller L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/25 | @ TOR | S | W | 3-1 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 76 | 12.7 | .83 |
| 10/8/25 | @ DET | S | ND | 3-9 | 4.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 12.7 | 2.50 |
| 9/28/25 | LAD | S | L | 1-6 | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 70 | 17.5 | 2.00 |
| 9/23/25 | COL | S | ND | 4-3 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 14.8 | 1.75 |
| 9/17/25 | @ KC | S | ND | 5-7 | 5.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 89 | 17.8 | 1.33 |
| 9/11/25 | LAA | S | ND | 7-6 | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 99 | 17.5 | 1.50 |
| 9/6/25 | @ ATL | S | ND | 10-2 | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 17.2 | 2.50 |
| 8/31/25 | @ CLE | S | W | 4-2 | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 72 | 12.0 | 6.00 |
| 8/25/25 | SD | S | W | 9-6 | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 81 | 16.2 | .75 |
| 8/19/25 | @ PHI | S | ND | 4-6 | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 85 | 17.0 | 4.50 |
Prediction
After getting nothing on offense in the first two games, the Toronto Blue Jays have woken up and completely flipped this ALCS. Toronto once again got to Seattle’s starting pitching last night and this series is heading back to Toronto no matter what. Also, the trend between these two teams continues, with the home team winning each of the last nine meetings in 2025. Miller has been decent in the postseason, but I still don’t trust him in a pressure situation like we have here in Game 5. I say Toronto takes this back home with a 3-2 series lead.
Pick: Blue Jays -108
