Houston (25-11) at NY Yankees (21-12)
When: Sunday, May 14th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
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It’s Derek Jeter Night in the Bronx on Sunday night as the New York Yankees will host the Houston Astros in the final game of their four-game set. It will be an all-day baseball extravaganza as rain forced the postponement of Saturday’s contest and the day gets started with the first game of a double-header at 1:05 ET. Jeter, the franchise’s hit king and a five-time World Series champion, will have his No. 2 retired and a plaque placed in his honor on Monument Park prior to the nightcap. The Yankees will try and slow down an Astros squad that has won five in a row after two straight victories to open the series. Former New York catcher Brian McCann blasted a three-run homer to lead the way in Friday’s 5-1 win, which marked the sixth consecutive game in which MLB-leading Houston had held an opponent to three runs or fewer. The Yankees have dropped three in a row following their dominant 20-5 stretch. Astros CF George Springer has an 11-game hitting streak, although he has just one hit in each of the last seven games. Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman allowed four runs on six hits and two walks in 1.1 innings over his last two appearances. The twinbill is a single-admission event and the Jeter ceremony is scheduled to begin at 7:35 p.m., with the second game to follow.
Pitchers: Astros – Charlie Morton (4-2, 3.63 ERA) | Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (5-1, 4.36)
Charlie Morton has allowed just one earned run in each of his last two starts and has 25 strikeouts in 18.2 innings over his last three. Morton has kept the ball in the park in five of his last six starts, although opponents do have nine doubles and a triple in that span. He’s faced the Yankees just one time in his 10-year career, but he’s seen plenty of Starlin Castro (12-for-27, three homers against Morton) and Matt Holliday (8-for-31).
Masahiro Tanaka has won five straight starts to push his career record to 44-17, allowing three earned runs on a season-high 10 hits in seven innings at Cincinnati in his last outing. He allowed three home runs over his last two starts after giving up just one over his previous four. Tanaka has a 6.89 ERA in three career meetings with Houston and both Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa are 4-for-9 against him.
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The day off might be just what the Yankees needed. The atmosphere will be electric with Jeter in the house and I expect the Yankees bats to wake up against Morton.
Pick: Yankees -125
W/L TRENDS
| Houston |
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League East.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 overall.
- Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 second games of a double-header.
- Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 60-29 in their last 89 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Astros are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 4 of a series.
- Astros are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts.
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| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
- Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 overall.
- Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass.
- Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Yankees are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 16-7 in their last 23 vs. American League West.
- Yankees are 42-20 in their last 62 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 37-18 in their last 55 home games.
- Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 Sunday games.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 second games of a double-header.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-1 in Tanaka’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. American League West.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 Sunday starts.
- Yankees are 14-3 in Tanaka’s last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 7-2 in Tanaka’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 22-7 in Tanaka’s last 29 home starts.
- Yankees are 38-16 in Tanaka’s last 54 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 43-19 in Tanaka’s last 62 starts.
- Yankees are 38-17 in Tanaka’s last 55 starts on grass.
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OU TRENDS
| Houston |
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 second games of a double-header.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 12-2-2 in Astros last 16 Sunday games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 10-3 in Astros last 13 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 8-3 in Astros last 11 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts overall.
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| NY Yankees |
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 second games of a double-header.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Sunday games.
- Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 overall.
- Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 on grass.
- Under is 14-3 in Tanaka’s last 17 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-2 in Tanaka’s last 9 starts overall.
- Over is 8-3 in Tanaka’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts on grass.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Astros are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
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