Houston (67-36) at Colorado (53-47)
When: Wednesday, July 25th 2018
Where: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Time: 8:40 ET | TV: SportsNet Southwest
AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain
Opening Odds: Houston -133/10
The Houston Astros look to continue their dominance over the Colorado Rockies and sweep their two-game interleague set when the clubs meet on Wednesday night at Coors Field. Houston broke open a 2-2 game in the 10th inning en route to an 8-2 victory and their seventh-straight over the Rockies in a game we had wrong. Astros outfielder George Springer broke out of a slump with a home run in last week’s All-Star Game and now has eight RBIs in his last four games. Springer and Alex Bregman each homered in Tuesday’s victory as the Astros improved to a major league-best 35-15 on the road. Bregman has been on a tear as well, hitting .328 with 13 home runs and 35 RBI in his last 33 games, while Springer has reached base safely in nine of his 19 plate appearances since the break. Colorado lost its second straight following a seven-game winning streak when the Astros scored six runs in the 10th inning against Wade Davis and Yency Almonte. The Rockies have managed just three runs in the past two games. Rookie second baseman Garrett Hampson started his third straight game in place of DJ LeMahieu (oblique) and went 1-for-3 with a walk while batting seventh. Colorado starter German Marquez (paternity leave) is set to return to the starting rotation Sunday against Oakland.
Pitchers: Astros – Charlie Morton (11-2, 2.96 ERA) | Rockies – Jon Gray (8-7, 5.44)
By all accounts, Charlie Morton has had a terrific season, earning an All-Star nod in the process, but went into the break allowing a total of eight runs on 11 hits over his last two starts covering 10 innings. He still ranks third in the American League with 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Morton is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA in eight career starts versus Colorado, including 1-1 with a 6.97 ERA in four outings at Coors Field.
Longtime Rockie pitcher Jon Gray was demoted to Triple-A on June 30th after struggling for much of the season. He came back on July 14th with a strong performance against Seattle, allowing one run over 7.1 innings in a 4-1 win. Gray is facing Houston for the first time and owns a 5-1 record and 3.42 ERA in nine career interleague starts.
The All-Star Break probably came a perfect time for Morton, who had been dominating much of the first half. I think he comes back fresh with a strong performance here, while I don’t think Gray can duplicate his latest outing. This is a cheap price to lay on the defending World Series champions.
Pick: Astros -125
BETTING TRENDS:
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 49-17 in their last 66 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Astros are 62-24 in their last 86 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 46-18 in their last 64 Wednesday games.
- Astros are 45-18 in their last 63 games on grass.
- Astros are 50-20 in their last 70 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 37-15 in their last 52 vs. National League West.
- Astros are 27-11 in their last 38 interleague road games.
- Astros are 46-19 in their last 65 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Astros are 36-15 in their last 51 road games.
- Astros are 52-23 in their last 75 during game 2 of a series.
- Astros are 46-21 in their last 67 overall.
- Astros are 52-24 in their last 76 interleague games.
- Astros are 38-18 in their last 56 games following a win.
- Astros are 54-26 in their last 80 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 80-39 in their last 119 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 12-4 in Morton’s last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 10-4 in Morton’s last 14 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-2 in Morton’s last 7 starts.
- Astros are 1-4 in Morton’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
- Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games.
- Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 19-43 in their last 62 vs. American League West.
- Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Rockies are 5-0 in Gray’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Rockies are 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rockies are 9-2 in Gray’s last 11 Wednesday starts.
- Rockies are 8-3 in Gray’s last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 5-2 in Gray’s last 7 home starts.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 interleague road games.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Astros last 11 interleague games.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Astros last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1-2 in Astros last 10 road games.
- Over is 10-2-1 in Astros last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-1-2 in Astros last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 17-8-1 in Astros last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Rockies last 11 interleague home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Rockies last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Rockies last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Rockies last 10 home games.
- Under is 18-6-3 in Rockies last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 15-5-1 in Rockies last 21 games following a loss.
- Under is 15-5-2 in Rockies last 22 interleague games.
- Under is 9-3-2 in Rockies last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 17-6-3 in Rockies last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 8-3-3 in Rockies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-2-2 in Rockies last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Rockies last 30 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Gray’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Gray’s last 11 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Gray’s last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Gray’s last 8 Wednesday starts.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Gray’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Gray’s last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Gray’s last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 5-2 in Gray’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Gray’s last 7 home starts.
- Under is 16-7 in Gray’s last 23 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Gray’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.
- Astros are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 11-1-1 in the last 13 meetings in Colorado.
- Over is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings.
