Alabama vs LSU Free Pick – 2012 BCS Championship Game

Alabama (11-1) vs LSU (13-0)
When: Monday, January 9th, 2012
Where: Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Time: 8:30 ET

The point spread for this year’s BCS Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers opened up at PK at Bovada Sportsbook on 12/12/11. As of Saturday afternoon (1/7), the line has gone back to PK after it went to LSU -1 for a few days. The total is set at 40. Right now, 57% of the betting public is on LSU and 51% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

Crimson Tide are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.

Over is 5-0 in Crimson Tide last 5 bowl games.

Under is 14-3 in Crimson Tide last 17 games on turf.

Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 conference games.

Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as an underdog.

Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Louisiana State.

My Prediction: The highly anticipated rematch is finally here. Alabama plays LSU for all the marbles. Of course, if Alabama wins, shouldn’t they split the National Championship? No. The Patriots didn’t split the Super Bowl trophy with the Giants a few years ago, did they? We both know that these two teams have the best defenses in the country. On offense, Alabama has more of a balanced attack. When LSU has the ball with Jordan Jefferson under center, they virtually have no passing game. Two quarterback systems rarely work in football, but Les Miles knows how to make it work for this team. It’s almost like flipping a coin with these two teams. Alabama is better statistically, but LSU has big playmakers and they’re playing a virtual home game. This one will be hard fought, but I’m predicting LSU to pull it out in the end.


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