Saturday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [8/22/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/20/26**


Atlanta (Perez) at Milwaukee (Henderson) – 2:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 7-0 in Henderson’s last 7 home starts.
Hot: Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Cold: Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Cold: Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Henderson’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 8-2 in Braves last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Braves are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Over is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings.

Pick: Braves +146


Washington (Irvin) at Miami (Perez) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Cold: Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cold: Marlins are 3-15 in Perez’s last 18 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Irvin’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Perez’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Perez’s last 4 starts overall.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Miami.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.
Cold: Nationals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Pick: Nationals +158


St Louis (Mathews) at Philadelphia (Painter) – 6:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Hot: Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in Painter’s last 4 home starts.
Cold: Phillies are 1-5 in Painter’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 3-11 in Painter’s last 14 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Painter’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Painter’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Painter’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
Cardinals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Cardinals are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.

Pick: Cardinals +118

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Cincinnati (Lowder) at Arizona (Soroka) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Soroka’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Reds are 0-7 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Soroka’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-2 in Reds last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 21-7 in Diamondbacks last 28 Saturday games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Reds are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Arizona.

Pick: Reds +144


Pittsburgh (Jones) at LA Dodgers (Skubal) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 5-1 in Jones’ last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 50-20 in their last 70 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in Jones’ last 5 starts.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in Jones’ last 5 starts on grass.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in Jones’ last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Jones’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Jones’ last 5 starts on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Pirates are 14-40 in the last 54 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 -110


Toronto (Cease) at NY Yankees (Weathers) – 1:35 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Yankees are 1-4 in Weathers’ last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Cease’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Weathers’ last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Weathers’ last 4 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Weathers’ last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Pick: Blue Jays -103

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Tampa Bay (McClanahan) at Baltimore (Young) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
Hot: Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in Young’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cold: Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Young’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 10-1 in Orioles last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in McClanahan’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Baltimore.
Cold: Rays are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Orioles +118


LA Angels (Johnson) at Texas (Bradford) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in Johnson’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Johnson’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Johnson’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 10-1 in Angels last 11 during game 2 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Angels are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Cold: Angels are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Texas.

Pick: Angels +151


Athletics (Lopez) at Houston (Brown) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in Brown’s last 4 Saturday starts.
Hot: A’s are 6-1 in Lopez’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Astros are 4-1 in Brown’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: A’s are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in Brown’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: A’s are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Lopez’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Lopez’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in A’s last 5 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Lopez’s last 5 road starts.
Under is 11-3 in Brown’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-2 in Brown’s last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
A’s are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
A’s are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.

Pick: Astros -1.5 -110

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Detroit (Anderson) at Kansas City (Wacha) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Hot: Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in Wacha’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Royals are 1-7 in Wacha’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 22-3-1 in Wacha’s last 26 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Wacha’s last 7 home starts.
Hot: Under is 10-2-1 in Tigers last 13 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 12-3-1 in Royals last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 12-3 in Wacha’s last 15 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1-2 in Royals last 7 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
Under is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings.

Pick: Royals -105


NY Mets (Scott) at Chicago White Sox (Castillo) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Mets are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Cold: Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Cold: White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague road games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 road games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Mets are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Mets are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

Pick: White Sox -110


Chicago Cubs (Peterson) at Seattle (Anderson) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 5-0 in Peterson’s last 5 starts.
Hot: Cubs are 5-0 in Peterson’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in Peterson’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in Woo’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Cubs are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. American League West.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Woo’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Woo’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Woo’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Peterson’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Cubs are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.
Cubs are 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.

Pick: Mariners -112

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San Francisco (Tidwell) at Boston (Sandoval) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
Hot: Red Sox are 5-1 in Sandoval’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 Saturday games.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 interleague home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Giants are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Red Sox -1.5 +105


Cleveland (Bibee) at Colorado (Hughes) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games.
Cold: Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games.
Cold: Guardians are 0-6 in Bibee’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
Cold: Guardians are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Bibee’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 12-2 in Guardians last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Bibee’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Guardians are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Rockies +122


Minnesota (Kremer) at San Diego (Mize) – 8:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 9-1-1 in Twins last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

Pick: Padres -1.5 +130

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.