In our on-going series of NFL division previews, we move on to the AFC West today, where we have the biggest favorite of any division. The defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are the overwhelming -400 favorite to repeat. But I’m not laying that much on any team to win a division. It’s just not worth the return.
The other three teams in the division, which all finished under .500 last year, are neck-and-neck to finish second.
AFC West Standings [2019]
| AFC | WEST | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Chiefs | 12 | 4 | 0 |
 | Broncos | 7 | 9 | 0 |
 | Raiders | 7 | 9 | 0 |
 | Chargers | 5 | 11 | 0 |
The Denver Broncos appear to have their quarterback for now in Drew Lock. He went 4-1 down the stretch and received some help in the draft in the form of some wide receivers. Denver also brings in RB Melvin Gordon to make a solid backfield. Their odds to win the division are +850.
The L.A. Chargers will move into a new building and won’t have Gordon or longtime starting QB Philip Rivers (Colts). After a 5-11 campaign, it’s going to be difficult for the Bolts to get to .500.
The Raiders are not only moving into a brand new building also, but a brand new city – Las Vegas. Jon Gruden is still going with Derek Carr under center and the team brought in tight end Jason Witten, who could be Carr’s favorite target right away. Look for the Raiders to struggle early with a brutal start to their schedule.
Odds to Win AFC West:
Kansas City Chiefs -400
Denver Broncos +850
L.A. Chargers +850
Las Vegas Raiders +950
Season Win Totals:
Kansas City Chiefs 11.5 o150
Denver Broncos 7.5 o150
L.A. Chargers 7.5 o145
Las Vegas Raiders 7.5 o105
Jay’s Season Win Total Best Bet: The Chargers are not only without their two best offensive players, they’ll be starting the season with either Tyrod Taylor or rookie Justin Herbert at quarterback. This was a 5-11 team last year. I love the under 7.5 +110 here.
Jay’s Pick to Win Division: The Chiefs will probably win the division, but I’m not risking $400 just to win $100. I’m taking a shot with the Broncos at +850. I like what I’ve seen out of Lock and the schedule after a Week 13 date at Kansas City is very manageable.
To see more odds and props for the AFC West, click here.
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