Week 7 – NFL Match Up Analysis

October 17th 2007
Bet On Football

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) at DetroitLions (3-2 SU, 2-2-1 ATS)

Tampa Bay is proving to be a bit of an enigmathis season. One thing’s for sure: despite a winning record, theBuccaneers have their fair share of negative attributes. Tampa Bay is3-17 ATS on the road against non-division foes and 3-15 ATS away fromhome in October following a SU win. They have also dropped nine of 13ATS after allowing 10 points or less. Detroit has not been good to bettorsas home favorites (10-20) and it has failed to cash in 25 of 36 as favoritesagainst non-division opposition. Tampa Bay has gone under in 19 of 26on the road after a non-conference game.

Tennessee Titans (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) at HoustonTexans (3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS)

Tennessee has won eight of its last 10 against Houstonand won and covered the spread in four of five road games. The Titansare 8-2 as road favorites following a SU road loss. The Texans are 8-4-1ATS at home against a division foe. Six of the past eight series matchupshave gone over.

New York Jets (1-5 SU, 1-4-1 ATS) at CincinnatiBengals (1-4 SU, 1-3-1 ATS)

The New York Jets have lost 11 of 14 and failed to cash10 of 14 on the road outside their division. The Jets have also droppedtheir last six October road outings ATS and failed to cash at a 20-10-2clip as underdogs. Cincinnati has faltered in eight of its last nine Octobertests ATS and in six of its last seven against AFC-East opponents. TheBengals are 14-8 ATS at Paul Brown Stadium versus a non-division rivalwith a losing record.

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4 SU, 1-5 ATS) at DenverBroncos (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)

Pittsburgh is coming off a bye week after an impressive21-0 home-field thumping of the Seattle Seahawks two weeks ago. Denveris coming off a bye week after a very unimpressive 41-3 thrashing at thehands of the San Diego Chargers. The Seattle-Pittsburgh game was supposedto be a close game, but Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers made it lookeasy. The Steelers could be for real this season, while the Broncos areright on the cusp of labeling this a ‘rebuilding’ year. Pittsburghis 5-1 SU and ATS in its past six games, and is 4-2 ATS in its past sixgames when playing on the road against Denver. Denver is 0-5 ATS in itspast five games, and 2-4 SU in its past six. The total has gone over infour of Pittsburgh’s past six games in Denver.

St. Louis Rams (0-6 SU, 0-6 ATS) at Seattle Seahawks(3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS)

It was just two weeks ago that the Seahawks were considered a decent team,if not a possible contender. Two butt-kickings later, and the ‘Hawksare mired in mediocrity. But they are still getting some respect fromoddsmakers – and St. Louis is getting none – as Seattle isa 10-point favorite. Maybe that’s because St. Louis only managed10 first downs in a 22-3 loss against Baltimore last Sunday. The Ramsactually got some good news this week, confirming that quarterback MarcBulger is expected to start against the Seahawks after missing two weekswith broken ribs. St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its past five games on the roadagainst Seattle, and is 5-2 ATS in its past seven against Seattle. Seattleis 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home.

Indianapolis Colts (5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) at Jacksonville Jaguars(4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)

Jacksonville is a very impressive 7-2-1 ATS in its past10 clashes with the Super Bowl champions. The Jaguars are an imposing17-4-1 as underdogs and they have cashed in 21 of 28 at home followinga division win. But the Colts have impressive credentials, as well, going8-1 ATS in Weeks 5-9, and covering the spread in nine of 10 as away favorites.Indianapolis is 13-6-2 as road favorites of 3½ -points or lessand 7-1 as favorites of more than two points when playing on Monday NightFootball. Five of the last six games at Jacksonville Municipal Stadiumhave gone over.