2007 NFC Divisional Playoffs Preview and Pick ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) at New Orleans Saints (10-6) -5, o/u 49, 8:00 p.m. Eastern Saturday, January 13, Fox Network
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Philadelphia Eagles and New Orleans Saints meet in Round 2 of the playoffs in New Orleans. The story line here is the tremendous turnaround by the Saints who were not expected to have a great year and the emergence of the Eagles after starting QB Donovan McNabb was injured.
Philadelphia appeared to be in big trouble when they lost their star QB, Donovan McNabb; however, the Eagles are 6-1 with Jeff Garcia as the starting QB. The Eagles defeated the New York Giants last week in round 1 of the playoffs with a last second field goal to win 23-20.
New Orleans was a consistent team all season and earned the #2 seed in the NFC despite losing 2 of their last 3 games.
The Eagles are 9-7-1 against the spread this season; they are 5-3 straight up and 4-3-1 ATS on the road.
The Saints are 10-6 ATS this season, and they are 4-4 SU and 3-5 vs. the number at home.
Philadelphias starting QB, Jeff Garcia, has thrown 11 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions since replacing the injured McNabb. His QB rating is 93.4 with a 60.73% completion rate.
New Orleans is led by Drew Brees who came to the Saints in the offseason from San Diego. Brees has had a great year throwing for 26 TDs and 11 interceptions on the year. His QB rating is 96.3 with a completion rate of 64.32%.
The Eagles are being outrushed by their opponents this season by a 128-137 yards-per-game average, while the Saints are also being outrushed their opponents by a 110-129 YPG margin.
Philadelphia is averaging 6.3 yards per play on the season while New Orleans is averaging 6.0 yards per play. The Eagles defense has given up an average of 5.2 yards per play while the Saints have given up an average of 5.5 yards per play.
These two teams have played eight common opponents this season. In these games Philadelphia was 10-2 and averaged 27.75 points and gave up an average of 18.5 points. New Orleans is 8-3 and is averaging 27.1 points and giving up an average of 16.4 points against these 8 teams.
These two teams have already met this year on 10/15/06 with the Saints winning in New Orleans by a score of 27-24.
Philadelphia ranks 2nd in total offense averaging 381.4 yards per game. New Orleans ranks 1st with 391.7 yards per game.
In scoring offense, the Eagles rank 6th averaging 24.9 points per game and the Saints rank 5th averaging 25.8 points per game.
On the defensive side of the ball the Eagles rank 15th in total defense giving up 328.0 yards per game while the Saints rank 11th giving up an average of 307.3 yards per game.
In scoring defense Philadelphia ranks 16th and New Orleans ranks 13th giving up 20.5 and 20.1 points per game, respectively.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com ranks Philadelphia #8 at 22.89, New Orleans is #9 at 22.58.
The Over/Under is 8-8-1 in Eagles games this season, 8-8 in Saints games.
New Orleans opened up as a 4 point favorite with a total of 48. The line has risen to New Orleans -5 and the total has risen to 49. At the time of this writing, the betting public was backing the Eagles 52%-48%.
The Ultimatecapper Pick: We suggest a wager on the Eagles in this game as we see these teams to be even with a slight edge to the Eagles since they have been playing so well. The Saints may win this game but the 5 points we are getting seem to be generous.
New Orleans 24 Philadelphia 23