NY Yankees (46-42) at Boston (51-40)
When: Sunday, July 16th 2017
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Boston -142/8.5
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The New York Yankees gutted-out a much needed win on Saturday afternoon and will look to carry that momentum into Sunday’s double-header with the Boston Red Sox that will be capped-off on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. The Yankees blew a ninth-inning lead in Friday’s series opener, then returned the favor with a Matt Holliday game-tying solo home run off Boston closer Craig Kimbrel. New York went on to score three runs in the 16th inning for the 4-1 victory to pull back to within 3.5 games of the Red Sox in the AL East. It was New York’s fourth victory this season when trailing entering the ninth inning after going 3-71 last season in that same scenario. Holliday’s homer off Kimbrel allowed the Yankees to remain the only team in the majors that has yet to be shut out. Each team used seven relievers on Saturday in the longest game between the rivals at Fenway Park since 1966 – a scenario which figures to prompt some roster moves Sunday. Yankees slugger Aaron Judge is 0-for-9 in the series, while fellow right fielder Mookie Betts went 0-for-6 for the Red Sox in the 16-inning loss. New York will go with CC Sabathia in the matinee and Masahiro Tanaka in the nightcap, while Rick Porcello precedes David Price for the Red Sox.
Pitchers: Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (7-8, 5.47 ERA) | Red Sox – David Price (4-2, 3.91)
Tanaka appeared to be turning things around after a rough start to the season, but reverted back in his last outing prior to the All-Star Break against the Milwaukee Brewers. He gave up five runs in 4.1 innings while allowing two home runs, running his total in that category to 23 – second-most in the American League. Tanaka posted his second career shutout at Fenway Park on April 27th, but was tagged for five runs on five hits – three homers – in five innings of a rematch at Yankee Stadium last month.
Price has been solid since returning from the disabled list, allowing three earned runs or fewer in all but one of his nine starts. The one start bad start of the bunch was when he allowed six runs in five innings at New York on June 8th. He has not given up a home run in four straight starts after surrendering seven in his first five outings. Price, who owns a 4.69 ERA in his career against the Yankees, has struggled with several of their hitters, including Gary Sanchez (4-for-7, four home runs), Didi Gregorius (12-for-24), Jacoby Ellsbury (27-for-77, six doubles) and Chase Headley (12-for-36).
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Look for the baseball to be flying out of Fenway in the nightcap. Price has been good, but his track record against New York isn’t. Tanaka has been bad all season aside from a couple of decent outings, but the Red Sox should hit him tonight. I’m taking the over in this game.
Pick: Over 8.5 -110
W/L TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Yankees are 4-11 in their last 15 road games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 second games of a double-header.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games.
- Yankees are 6-0 in Tanakas last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 27-11 in Tanakas last 38 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 13-6 in Tanakas last 19 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 29-14 in Tanakas last 43 starts.
- Yankees are 0-4 in Tanakas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
|
| Boston |
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 14-6 in their last 20 home games.
- Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 second games of a double-header.
- Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Prices last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Prices last 5 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 10-3 in Prices last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in Prices last 8 home starts.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Prices last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Prices last 5 Sunday starts.
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OU TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 second games of a double-header.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Yankees last 9 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 19-7-1 in Yankees last 27 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 11-5 in Yankees last 16 Sunday games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Tanakas last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 9-3 in Tanakas last 12 road starts.
|
| Boston |
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Sunday games.
- Over is 8-2-1 in Red Sox last 11 second games of a double-header.
- Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 home games.
- Under is 11-4-2 in Red Sox last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Red Sox last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Prices last 4 home starts.
- Over is 14-3 in Prices last 17 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 7-3 in Prices last 10 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-3 in Prices last 10 starts vs. American League East.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 5-1 in Prices last 6 starts vs. Yankees.
- Yankees are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
- Over is 7-3 in Tanakas last 10 starts vs. Red Sox.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Prices last 5 starts vs. Yankees.
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