NY Yankees (45-41) at Boston (50-39)
When: Friday, July 14th 2017
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Boston -131/9.5
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The New York Yankees will try and chip away at the lead the Boston Red Sox stole from them towards the end of the first half of the season when they meet on Friday night to open a three-game set. New York, who trails Boston by 3.5 games to start the second half, has dropped 18 of 25 and will begin an 11-game road trip. Rookie sensation Aaron Judge leads the majors with 30 homers and won the Home Run Derby at the All-Star Game. Yankees DH Matt Holliday, who last played on June 24th due to a viral infection, is expected back in the lineup on Friday. The Red Sox should have a bigger lead over New York, but lost four of their last five before the break and are 1-4 against New York, scoring one run or fewer in each of the four losses. First baseman Mitch Moreland had a monster first half, but he did not record and RBI in his last 11 games after homering in three straight games.
Pitchers: Yankees – Michael Pineda (8-4, 4.39) | Red Sox – Drew Pomeranz (9-4, 3.60 ERA)
Manager Joe Girardi will go with Michael Pineda to start the second half and he could use a good outing. Pineda has allowed at least a run in everyone of his 17 starts including 15 over his last three outings. He turned in one of his best starts of the season on June 8th against Boston, allowing one run (unearned) in seven innings while striking out eight in a 9-1 victory.
Pomeranz ended the first half on a high-note, going unbeaten in his last five turns, allowing a combined six earned runs during that stretch. He earned Boston’s only win over the Yankees this season with five innings of two-run ball at Yankee Stadium on June 6th to improve to 2-1 with a 2.40 in six appearances (five starts) versus New York. Judge is 2-for-2 and Didi Gregorius 6-for-11 with a homer against him.
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Neither team entered the All-Star Break with any sort of momentum, but the Yankees have Boston’s number so far this season and the Break might have been the best thing for this young New York team. Look for them to come out strong in the second half and take the opener of this big series.
Pick: Yankees +120
W/L TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 3-10 in their last 13 road games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Yankees are 2-12 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 1-11 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games following an off day.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 12-5 in Pineda’s last 17 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 1-4 in Pineda’s last 5 starts.
- Yankees are 1-4 in Pineda’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 1-5 in Pineda’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 0-5 in Pineda’s last 5 starts with 8 or more days of rest.
|
| Boston |
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 Friday games.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss.
- Red Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
- Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Pomeranz’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Red Sox are 13-3 in Pomeranz’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 8-2 in Pomeranz’s last 10 starts vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Pomeranz’s last 5 starts.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Pomeranz’s last 5 Friday starts.
- Red Sox are 7-2 in Pomeranz’s last 9 home starts.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 7-3 in Pomeranz’s last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Yankees last 9 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Friday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 18-7-1 in Yankees last 26 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Pineda’s last 4 road starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Pineda’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 Friday starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 17-5 in Pineda’s last 22 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-2 in Pineda’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 25-9-4 in Pineda’s last 38 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 19-7 in Pineda’s last 26 starts overall.
- Over is 8-3 in Pineda’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-2 in Pineda’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Pineda’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Boston |
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 24-11-2 in Red Sox last 37 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Pomeranz’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Pomeranz’s last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Pomeranz’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Pomeranz’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-2-2 in Pomeranz’s last 9 home starts.
- Under is 9-4-2 in Pomeranz’s last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pineda’s last 4 road starts vs. Red Sox.
- Yankees are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Pineda’s last 5 road starts vs. Red Sox.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
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