NY Yankees (64-55) at NY Mets (53-65)
When: Thursday, August 17th 2017
Where: Citi Field, New York, NY
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: NY Yankees -178/8
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The New York Yankees look to keep the heat on the Boston Red Sox in the AL East while at the same time, sweep their cross-town rival the New York Mets on Thursday night at Citi Field. Yankees’ slugger Aaron Judge belted his American League-best 37th homer in the fourth inning of Wednesday’s 5-3 win before writing his name into the record books in the ninth with a strikeout, marking the 33rd consecutive game in one season that he’s struck out to set a record for position players. Judge can match pitcher Vida Blue (34) and move within one of another pitcher, Bill Stoneman (35) for the most consecutive games with a strikeout should he do so on Thursday. The Yankees have had their way in the Subway Series, winning 11 of the last 15 matchups. The Yankees can secure the third season sweep in the Series on Thursday. They did it in 2003 while the Mets swept a four-game series in 2013. New York starts the night still 4.5 games behind their bigger rival, the Red Sox. The Mets, who are starting to let go of high-priced players, have lost nine of their last 13 overall. Juan Lagares had a single and a double on Wednesday and has four hits in the series as he works his way back from a two-month absence due to a fractured thumb. Yoenis Cespedes has scored a run in five of his last six games.
Pitchers: Yankees – Luis Severino (9-5, 3.32 ERA) | Mets – Steven Matz (2-6, 5.54)
Luis Severino will look to bounce back after his four-start winning streak came to a screeching halt on Saturday, allowing a career-worst 10 runs (eight earned) in 4.1 innings of a 10-5 loss to Boston. The loss also snapped a six-start unbeaten run for Severino, who dominated the Mets in an encounter last season, allowing one run on one hit while striking out five in 4.1 innings to pick up the win in relief.
BUFFALO BILLS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES PREVIEW AND PREDICTION
Steven Matz hasn’t won a game since June 28th and has looked horrible since then. Over his last seven starts, Matz is 0-5 with a 9.51 ERA despite a decent outing at Philadelphia on Saturday. Matz allowed two runs on four hits over 5.2 innings versus the Phillies, but still suffered a 3-1 loss. He had allowed 29 runs including six homers in his previous six outings. Matz allowed six runs in six innings of work in a 9-5 loss at Yankee Stadium last season.
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The Mets are ready for this season to be over, while the Yanks need every win they can get. Matz isn’t going to turn his season around tonight. Look for the Yankees to pound him and for Severino to have an easy time on the mound.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 -115
W/L TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 8-20 in their last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 Thursday games.
- Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 7-23 in their last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 3-10 in their last 13 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 interleague starts.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Severino’s last 7 starts.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Severino’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 4-10 in Severino’s last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 3-9 in Severino’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 3-13 in Severino’s last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 0-5 in Severino’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 0-5 in Severino’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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| NY Mets |
- Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague home games.
- Mets are 15-36 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 3-8 in their last 11 Thursday games.
- Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
- Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.
- Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 7-19 in Matz’s last 26 starts.
- Mets are 7-19 in Matz’s last 26 starts on grass.
- Mets are 2-7 in Matz’s last 9 home starts.
- Mets are 2-8 in Matz’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 0-5 in Matz’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Mets are 0-6 in Matz’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 0-5 in Matz’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1-2 in Yankees last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Yankees last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 13-4-1 in Yankees last 18 road games.
- Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 interleague games.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 16-7-1 in Yankees last 24 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Severino’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Severino’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Severino’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-2 in Severino’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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| NY Mets |
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 interleague games.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 13-4-1 in Mets last 18 Thursday games.
- Over is 9-3-2 in Mets last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 27-13 in Mets last 40 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Matz’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Matz’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 interleague starts.
- Under is 9-3 in Matz’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New York.
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