NY Yankees (2-2) at Cleveland (2-2)
When: Wednesday, October 11th 2017
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
Opening Odds: Cleveland -200/7.5
Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Bovada.lv to get a $250 Signup Bonus to bet MLB Baseball odds and props!
The Cleveland Indians will try and avoid their first three-game losing streak since shortly after the All-Star Break and a complete collapse in the American League Division Series when they host Game 5 against the resurgent New York Yankees on Wednesday night. The Yankees, who will start veteran lefty CC Sabathia opposite Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, are playing their third elimination game already in the playoffs after winning the Wild Card game against Minnesota and staring down a 2-0 deficit in the ALDS. The Yankees got to Cleveland starter Trevor Bauer in Monday’s Game 4 after the righty shut down New York in Game 1. Aaron Judge recorded his only hit of the series (1-for-15, 12 Ks) when he doubled in two to send Bauer to the showers in the 7-3 victory. The Indians won 33 of their final 37 regular-season games but have arguably been the lesser team in this series – beginning with a Game 2 win that required the them to overcome a five-run deficit. Part of the struggles starts at the top of the lineup where Francisco Lindor (1-for-14, five strikeouts) and Jose Ramirez (2-for-17, seven strikeouts) are struggling to get the offense going. Designated hitter Edwin Encarnacion (ankle) sat out the last two games and will have his availability re-evaluated prior to Game 5.
Pitchers: Yankees – CC Sabathia (0-0, 3.38 ERA) | Indians – Corey Kluber (0-0, 20.25)
One of the decisions that backfired against Girardi in the Game 2 loss was pulling Sabathia after 77 pitches and 5.1 innings. The hefty lefty retired 12 of the last 13 batters he faced and left with a five-run lead before watching the bullpen and Girardi let him down. Sabathia is 9-5 with a 4.47 ERA in 20 career postseason appearances, but has had issues with Ramirez (4-for-8, two RBIs) and Lindor (5-for-9).
Kluber saved his worst for the Game 2 outing, allowing six runs on seven hits including two home runs in just 2.2 innings but was let off the hook when Cleveland stormed back for the win. Kluber started Game 7 of the World Series for the Indians last October, so he the big game experience the Indians are looking for.
[ad id=’36449′]
It all comes down to one game to see who will battle the Houston Astros in the ALCS. Anything can happen in a baseball game, especially in a series decider. The Yankees have outplayed the Indians through four games and they have the momentum. I believe this game is a coin flip, so I’m not laying almost 2/1 on the Indians. I’ll take the better odds and roll with the Yankees.
Pick: Yankees +170
BETTING TRENDS:
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 Wednesday games.
- Yankees are 22-8 in their last 30 games on grass.
- Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 19-8 in their last 27 overall.
- Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 playoff games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games.
- Yankees are 10-2 in Sabathia’s last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 Wednesday starts.
- Yankees are 7-2 in Sabathia’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 11-4 in Sabathia’s last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 38-18 in Sabathia’s last 56 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 2-6 in Sabathia’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff home games.
- Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
- Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League East.
- Indians are 44-10 in their last 54 overall.
- Indians are 41-10 in their last 51 games on grass.
- Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games following an off day.
- Indians are 6-2 in their last 8 Divisional Playoff games.
- Indians are 26-9 in their last 35 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Indians are 37-15 in their last 52 home games.
- Indians are 7-3 in their last 10 playoff home games.
- Indians are 37-18 in their last 55 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff games.
- Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 5 of a series.
- Indians are 6-1 in Kluber’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Indians are 5-1 in Kluber’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 21-6 in Kluber’s last 27 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Indians are 38-13 in Kluber’s last 51 starts on grass.
- Indians are 37-14 in Kluber’s last 51 starts.
- Indians are 10-4 in Kluber’s last 14 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 53-26 in Kluber’s last 79 home starts.
- Indians are 2-5 in Kluber’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 Divisional Playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 12-5-2 in Yankees last 19 playoff road games.
- Under is 15-4 in Sabathia’s last 19 starts on grass.
- Under is 18-6-3 in Sabathia’s last 27 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Sabathia’s last 12 road starts.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Sabathia’s last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Sabathia’s last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Sabathia’s last 27 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 23-9-3 in Sabathia’s last 35 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 41-20-3 in Sabathia’s last 64 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 during game 5 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-2 in Indians last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 Wednesday games.
- Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-4 in Indians last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 13-5 in Indians last 18 home games.
- Under is 13-5 in Indians last 18 playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 9-4-2 in Indians last 15 playoff home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Kluber’s last 7 home starts.
- Under is 5-1 in Kluber’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Kluber’s last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 9-4 in Kluber’s last 13 starts vs. American League East.
- Indians are 6-0 in Kluber’s last 6 starts vs. Yankees.
- Over is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Cleveland.
- Yankees are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
- Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts vs. Indians.
