NY Yankees (1-0) at Toronto (0-1)
When: Friday, March 30th 2018
Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: New York -143/8.5
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The most prized free agent in the offseason was without a doubt Giancarlo Stanton. Now, when you’re the most coveted player in the league, it’s only natural to feel some pressure in your new setting, especially if that setting is in a New York Yankees uniform. In his first game with his new team, Stanton acted like he had been there all his career, launching the second pitch he saw into the seats to help the Yankees beat the Toronto Blue Jays 6-1 in the season opener for both teams on Thursday. Stanton then capped-off his Yankees debut with a solo shot in the ninth to finish 3-for-5 with four RBI. It was New York’s first opening day victory since 2011, and set the tone for what could be a magical season. Stanton is now 9-for-16 with five blasts in four career games at Rogers Centre as the Blue Jays look to even their four game series on Friday night behind Aaron Sanchez, who opposed Masahiro Tanaka. Toronto’s offense was shut down by Luis Severino and the Yankees’ bullpen to the tune of two hits, and All-Star third baseman Josh Donaldson had issues in the field, bouncing a couple of throws to first base. New York’s vaunted bullpen allowed one run on one hit while recording five strikeouts and zero walks in 3.1 innings.
Pitchers: Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (2017: 13-12, 4.74 ERA) | Blue Jays – Aaron Sanchez (2017: 1-3, 4.25)
Tanaka is coming off his fourth straight season of 12 wins or more, but allowed an alarming 35 home runs. He was clutch down the stretch however, allowing two runs and zero homers over his last four starts, including the postseason. One of those was a 15-strikeout, three-hit gem against the Blue Jays in late September after he allowed eight runs in Toronto one week earlier.
The Blue Jays were expecting big things from Sanchez after his 2016 season in which he recorded a 15-2 mark and 3.00 ERA, but he won only once last year as recurring blister issues limited him to only eight starts. Sanchez is coming off a good spring including his last outing in which he allowed one run and two hits over 6.1 innings versus Atlanta. Sanchez made three starts against New York in 2016, going 1-0 with a 1.83 ERA.
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Toronto is going to have all sorts of issues this season, but Sanchez could be a bright spot if he can regain some of his 2016 form. Sanchez is not going to start off 2018 on a high note however, as the Yankees’ bats will prove to be too much, while Tanaka cruises to a win.
Pick: Yankees -143
BETTING TRENDS:
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 21-9 in their last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 Friday games.
- Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 21-5 in Tanaka’s last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 11-3 in Tanaka’s last 14 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 8-3 in Tanaka’s last 11 starts.
- Yankees are 9-4 in Tanaka’s last 13 Friday starts.
- Yankees are 2-5 in Tanaka’s last 7 road starts.
- Yankees are 1-5 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
- Blue Jays are 3-14 in their last 17 Friday games.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in Sanchez’s last 7 home starts.
- Blue Jays are 13-6 in Sanchez’s last 19 starts on astroturf.
- Blue Jays are 2-5 in Sanchez’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Sanchez’s last 5 Friday starts.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 0-5 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Yankees last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 Friday games.
- Over is 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts on astroturf.
- Under is 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 10-2 in Tanaka’s last 12 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 road starts.
- Under is 8-2 in Tanaka’s last 10 Friday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Tanaka’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 11-5-1 in Tanaka’s last 17 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Blue Jays last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 games following a loss.
- Under is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 20-8 in Blue Jays last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 19-8 in Blue Jays last 27 home games.
- Under is 7-3 in Blue Jays last 10 on astroturf.
- Under is 9-4 in Blue Jays last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Sanchez’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchez’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-1 in Sanchez’s last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchez’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-2 in Sanchez’s last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 20-8 in Sanchez’s last 28 starts on astroturf.
- Under is 35-15-1 in Sanchez’s last 51 starts overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Sanchez’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-4 in Sanchez’s last 13 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Tanaka’s last 14 starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Toronto.
- Yankees are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Toronto.
