Golden State (3-2) at LA Clippers (2-3)
When: Friday, April 26th, 2019
Where: Staples Center,
Los Angeles, CA
Time: 10:00 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Golden State -9/234.5
For the second time this series, the Golden State Warriors got caught sleep-walking in a home game and thus have to play a Game 6 on the road to try and close out their first round Western Conference series with the Los Angeles Clippers. The Staples Center, which didn’t see any playoff hockey or LeBron and the Lakers in the postseason, will get at least one more game as the Clippers try to extend this series to the max. Golden State played lackadaisical defense in allowing Los Angeles to shoot 54.1 percent in the 129-121 Game 5 victory at Oracle Arena. The Warriors also lost Game 2 at home 135-131 as 13.5-point favorites, but have taken both at Staples Center by a combined 35 points. L.A. reserves Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell were terrific, scoring 33 and 24 points respectively while shooting a combined 23-of-36 and making 10-of-11 free throws. The Warriors are 10-point favorites as of Thursday night and will be looking to avoid a potential Game 7 back in Oakland on Sunday.
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Durant scored a playoff career-high 45 points in Wednesday’s setback including five 3-points and a perfect 12-of-12 free throws. Stephen Curry contributed 24 points, but only attempted five three-pointers – making four – and had a team-high three turnovers. Klay Thompson took 20 shots for the second consecutive game, but made just nine of them in Game 5 and was just 4-of-11 from long range.
Williams has been the spark Los Angeles has needed to keep this series going, but is averaging only 17.7 points in the three setbacks as opposed to 34.5 in the two victories. Williams also added 10 assists in the Game 5 win for his second double-double of the series. Harrell, who shot 11-of-14 from the floor, is hitting 75 percent (42-of-56) in this series. Small forward Danilo Gallinari scored 26 points in Game 5 after totaling 25 points on 7-of-33 shooting in Games 3 and 4. Point guard Patrick Beverley, who averaged 7.6 rebounds during the regular season, has 24 in the last two games.
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I fully expect the Warriors to be more focused in this game as they don’t want it to come down to a Game 7, but this Clippers team is scrappy and has nothing to lose. I know the two games in L.A. were ugly, but look for Lou Williams to have another big game and keep his team within single-digits.
Pick: Clippers +10
Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Warriors are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 1 days rest.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Clippers are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 Friday games.
Clippers are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 vs. NBA Pacific.
Clippers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.
Clippers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
Clippers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 17-5 in Warriors last 22 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 11-4 in Warriors last 15 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 24-9-1 in Warriors last 34 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 10-4 in Warriors last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 17-7 in Warriors last 24 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 14-6 in Warriors last 20 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 16-7 in Warriors last 23 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 18-8 in Warriors last 26 overall.
Under is 9-4 in Warriors last 13 road games.
Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 15-7 in Warriors last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-1 in Clippers last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 12-4 in Clippers last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 13-5 in Clippers last 18 overall.
Over is 13-5 in Clippers last 18 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 games following a straight up win.
Over is 12-5 in Clippers last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Clippers last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 7-3 in Clippers last 10 Friday games.
Over is 11-5 in Clippers last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 36-17-2 in Clippers last 55 home games.
Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
Warriors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in LA.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in LA.
Road team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
