Villanova vs George Mason Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – March 18th, 2011

The point spread for Friday’s First Round NCAA Tournament game between the Villanova Wildcats and George Mason Patriots opened up at -1 on Sunday evening in favor of George Mason at Online and the total was set at 135.5. The spread and total have not moved much as of Wednesday afternoon. So far, 52% of the betting public is on the Patriots. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Wildcats are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss.

Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.

Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

Patriots are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall.

Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 NCAA Tournament games.

Under is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Friday games.

Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 NCAA Tournament games.

My Prediction: This is a game with two teams going in opposite directions. The free-falling Wildcats have lost 7 of their last 10 games overall and have failed to cover the spread in their last 9. George Mason on the other hand has won 16 of 17 and have covered the spread in 15 of their last 18. I know this is the Big East versus the CAA, but the way Villanova has played the last 2 months, it’s hard to make a case for them. Take the Patriots.

George Mason -1