Minnesota (29-34) at Detroit (31-37)
When: Wednesday, June 13th 2018
Where: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FS North, FS Detroit
Opening Odds: Minnesota -145/8.5
The Detroit Tigers having been hanging around in the weak American League Central all season, but they’ll have to find some way to stay in the race without their best player – Miguel Cabrera – who will miss the remainder of 2018. The two-time AL MVP ruptured a tendon in his biceps in Tuesday’s 6-4 loss to Minnesota and will undergo season-ending surgery, leaving Detroit helpless as it resumes the three-game set versus the Twins on Wednesday. Cabrera was hurt when he took an awkward swing at an off-speed pitch and immediately grabbed his arm, but the severity of the injury wasn’t revealed until after he was sent for an MRI exam. John Hicks, batting .285 with five homers and 22 RBIs, will take over as Detroit’s starting first baseman going forward. Minnesota took advantage and moved past Detroit into second place in the division as Ehire Adrianza blasted a grand slam as part of a three-hit game in the series opener. Adrianza is 9-for-20 with two homers, seven RBIs and seven runs scored in his last seven games. Jose Berrios, who owns a 3-1 record against the Tigers, gets the start Wednesday opposite Matthew Boyd.
Pitchers: Twins – Jose Berrios (7-5, 3.66 ERA) | Tigers – Matthew Boyd (4-4, 3.20)
Berrios is coming off his second complete game of the year, but first since his season debut, striking out 10 and limiting the Chicago White Sox to two runs and six hits to improve to 4-1 over his last five starts. Berrios is a young strikeout pitcher who boasts 44 Ks over his last five starts, including nine in the victory over Detroit last month.
Boyd has been much better at home this season, as he just posted his first road victory of the season at Boston in his last outing, limiting the Red Sox to two runs and four hits over 6.1 innings. He was not sharp in the May 17th outing against the Twins, allowing only one hit, but four walks led to two runs in the 6-0 loss. Brian Dozier had one of those two hits off Boyd and is 13-for-32 with three homers, three doubles and five RBIs lifetime against him.
The Tigers are having all sorts of problems scoring runs and now without Cabrera, are in real trouble. The Twins are slowly coming back to their 2017 form and have 13 runs in the past two games. Berrios was terrific against Detroit last month and should do much of the same this time out.
Pick: Twins -1.5 +100
BETTING TRENDS:
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 8-17 in their last 25 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Twins are 6-15 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games.
- Twins are 7-0 in Berrios’ last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
- Twins are 5-0 in Berrios’ last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-0 in Berrios’ last 5 Wednesday starts.
- Twins are 6-1 in Berrios’ last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-1 in Berrios’ last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 4-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts.
- Twins are 4-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts on grass.
- Twins are 2-5 in Berrios’ last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 3-13 in Berrios’ last 16 road starts.
- Tigers are 29-61 in their last 90 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Tigers are 8-17 in their last 25 Wednesday games.
- Tigers are 20-43 in their last 63 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
- Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Boyd’s last 5 home starts.
- Tigers are 5-1 in Boyd’s last 6 starts.
- Tigers are 5-1 in Boyd’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Tigers are 4-1 in Boyd’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 2-6 in Boyd’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Tigers are 1-11 in Boyd’s last 12 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in Twins last 10 games following a win.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Twins last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 on grass.
- Over is 43-19-3 in Twins last 65 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Berrios’ last 5 Wednesday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 Wednesday games.
- Under is 10-2 in Tigers last 12 games following a loss.
- Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Tigers last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 on grass.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Tigers last 11 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Boyd’s last 4 Wednesday starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Boyd’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-2 in Boyd’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-2 in Boyd’s last 8 starts overall.
- Over is 11-4-1 in Boyd’s last 16 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 8-0-1 in the last 9 meetings in Detroit.
- Twins are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Twins are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Boyd’s last 6 starts vs. Twins.
- Over is 4-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts vs. Tigers.
- Tigers are 0-4 in Boyd’s last 4 starts vs. Twins.
