Minnesota (36-35) at Cincinnati (37-35)
When: Tuesday, June 17th 2025
Where: Great American Ballpark,
Cincinnati, OH
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: mlb.tv
Opening Odds: Cincinnati -130/9
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Twins vs Reds Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/15/24 | MIN 9 - CIN 2 | D. Festa | R. Lowder | -169/9 | O |
| 9/14/24 | MIN 1 - CIN 11 | S. Woods-Richardson | N. Martinez | -138/8.5 | O |
| 9/13/24 | MIN 4 - CIN 8 | B. Ober | J. Aguiar | -235/8.5 | O |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 9/20/23 | CIN 3 - MIN 5 | H. Greene | B. Ober | -128/8.5 | U |
| 9/19/23 | CIN 0 - MIN 7 | F. Cruz | K. Maeda | -128/8.5 | U |
| 9/18/23 | CIN 7 - MIN 3 | C. Phillips | J. Ryan | 139/9.5 | O |
| 2021 Season | |||||
| 8/4/21 | CIN 6 - MIN 5 | L. Castillo | C. Barnes | -232/9.5 | O |
| 8/3/21 | CIN 5 - MIN 7 | T. Mahle | K. Maeda | -138/9 | O |
| 6/22/21 | MIN 7 - CIN 10 | B. Ober | W. Miley | -122/8.5 | O |
| 6/21/21 | MIN 7 - CIN 5 x | J. Happ | T. Mahle | -101/9 | O |
| 2020 Season | |||||
| 9/27/20 | MIN 3 - CIN 5 x | R. Hill | S. Gray | -129/8 | P |
| 9/26/20 | MIN 7 - CIN 3 | M. Pineda | L. Castillo | -119/7.5 | O |
| 9/25/20 | MIN 2 - CIN 7 | J. Berrios | T. Mahle | -154/8.5 | O |
| 2018 Season | |||||
| 4/29/18 | MIN 2 - CIN 8 | J. Berrios | T. Mahle | -190/9 | O |
| 4/28/18 | MIN 3 - CIN 1 | J. Odorizzi | S. Romano | -149/10 | U |
| 4/27/18 | MIN 9 - CIN 15 | P. Hughes | L. Castillo | -113/9.5 | O |
| 2015 Season | |||||
| 7/1/15 | CIN 2 - MIN 1 | J. Cueto | T. May | -192/7 | U |
| 6/30/15 | CIN 5 - MIN 8 | A. DeSclafani | P. Hughes | -125/8 | O |
| 6/29/15 | CIN 11 - MIN 7 | M. Leake | M. Pelfrey | -159/7.5 | O |
| 2012 Season | |||||
| 6/24/12 | CIN 3 - MIN 4 | M. Leake | S. Diamond | -147/9 | U |
David Festa L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/11/25 | TEX | S | W | 6-2 | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 86 | 14.3 | 2.00 |
| 6/5/25 | @ ATH | S | L | 3-14 | 3.2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 80 | 21.8 | .50 |
| 4/23/25 | CHW | S | ND | 6-3 | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 84 | 21.0 | 3.00 |
| 4/16/25 | NYM | S | ND | 4-3 | 4.1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 17.5 | .25 |
| 4/11/25 | DET | S | ND | 6-7 | 4.2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 13.7 | 1.00 |
| 9/26/24 | MIA | S | ND | 6-8 | 4.1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 72 | 16.6 | .67 |
| 9/20/24 | @ BOS | S | ND | 4-2 | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 103 | 20.6 | 3.00 |
| 9/15/24 | CIN | S | ND | 9-2 | 3.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 19.6 | 2.50 |
| 9/9/24 | LAA | S | L | 2-6 | 4.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 66 | 16.5 | 2.50 |
| 9/3/24 | @ TB | S | L | 1-2 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 18.0 | 1.33 |
Andrew Abbott L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/10/25 | @ CLE | S | W | 1-0 | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 110 | 12.2 | .89 |
| 6/4/25 | MIL | S | L | 1-9 | 6.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 100 | 16.7 | 1.67 |
| 5/30/25 | @ CHC | S | W | 6-2 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 13.3 | .43 |
| 5/24/25 | CHC | S | W | 6-4 | 5.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 83 | 14.6 | .80 |
| 5/18/25 | CLE | S | W | 3-1 | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 96 | 19.2 | .40 |
| 5/13/25 | CHW | S | ND | 1-5 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 16.0 | .40 |
| 5/6/25 | @ ATL | S | ND | 1-2 | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 18.2 | .67 |
| 5/1/25 | STL | S | ND | 9-1 | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 18.5 | .67 |
| 4/25/25 | @ COL | S | ND | 8-7 | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 84 | 21.0 | .40 |
| 4/18/25 | @ BAL | S | W | 8-3 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 93 | 15.5 | 1.50 |
Prediction
I love this pitching matchup here with Abbott over Festa. Abbott has been very good this season. He has two starts where he gave up four and five earned runs and still has an ERA under 2.00. That’s because he’s allowed one or zero runs in all of this other starts. He has a 6-1 record and the Reds are 8-3 when he starts. The Twins were red-hot a month ago, but have cooled off in a big way. Minnesota has dropped eight of ten and scored just six runs in getting swept by Houston over the weekend. The Reds have won seven of nine and are the play in this one.
Pick: Reds -114
