Tennessee (1-1) at Jacksonville (0-2)
When: Thursday, September 19, 2019
Where: TIAA Bank Field,
Jacksonville, FL
Time: 8:20 ET | TV: NFL Network
Opening Odds: Tennessee -2/41
Week 3 of the NFL season kicks off with a Thursday night division game between the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars, who played two forgettable games against each other last season. Jacksonville rebounded nicely after getting manhandled by the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1, but came up short in a 13-12 setback as nine-point underdogs at Houston. Head coach Doug Marrone went for two after rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew hit DJ Chark on a 4-yard touchdown pass with 30 seconds left to pull the Jaguars within 13-12. Marrone’s decision didn’t pay off as Leonard Fournette was stopped short on the 2-point try. The Titans lost their home opener last week to the Indianapolis Colts 19-17 after crushing the Cleveland Browns on the road in Week 1 and are just 1-4 ATS in its past five against the AFC South. These teams played each other on a Thursday night in Week 14 last year and the Jaguars, who already were long out of playoff contention, barely put up a fight in a 30-9 loss in Nashville. Former Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry had one of the greatest rushing games in NFL history in carrying 17 times for 238 yards and four touchdowns, including an NFL record-tying 99-yarder. Their Week 3 affair was one of the worst games of the season in the NFL, with the Titans pulling out a 9-6 victory behind Ryan Succop’s third field goal of the game with 4:06 left. The home team has covered six of the past nine meetings and the total has gone over in five of the previous seven.
Quarterback Marcus Mariota was held to only 154 yards passing last week against the Colts after a 133.3 passer rating against the Browns in Week 1. Henry rumbled for 81 yards and a touchdown, as the Titans never really tried to stretch the field against the Indianapolis defense. Tennessee’s defensive unit gave up a touchdown on the opening drive for the second week in a row, but were pretty solid the rest of the way. Starting right guard Kevin Pamphile missed the game with a knee injury and is questionable for Thursday. The Titans will get 10 days to prepare for a Week 4 contest at Atlanta.
Marrone is clearly on the hot seat this season and was was seen arguing on the sideline during the game with star cornerback Jalen Ramsey. There have been rumors for months that Ramsey wants out and it appears a trade is imminent. Minshew has completed 77.6 percent of his passes through two weeks and will be the man until Nick Foles returns in a few more weeks. The Jags were without cornerback A.J. Bouye, receiver Marqise Lee, defensive end Yannick Ngakoue and left tackle Cam Robinson in Sunday’s setback at Houston. Robinson is the only one not currently listed on the injury report with the other three all questionable for Thursday. Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its past seven September games.
Tennessee is not as good as their 30-point win at Cleveland, but they’re also better than they played last week at home. I like this team on the road and they always beat Jacksonville, winning four in a row and six of the last seven. I’ll lay the small number here against a coach (Marrone) who might not have a job the next time these teams meet in Week 12.
Pick: Titans -1.5 (More Week 3 Free Picks)
Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Titans are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 3.
Titans are 16-34-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Titans are 21-47-4 ATS in their last 72 vs. AFC.
Titans are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
Jaguars are 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC South.
Jaguars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Jaguars are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Jaguars are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Jaguars are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-1 in Titans last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 7-2 in Titans last 9 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Titans last 8 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Titans last 8 Thursday games.
Under is 7-3 in Titans last 10 vs. AFC South.
Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 7-2 in Jaguars last 9 games on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 vs. AFC South.
Under is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 13-6 in Jaguars last 19 games in September.
Under is 17-8 in Jaguars last 25 vs. AFC.
Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Jacksonville.
Favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Home team is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Jacksonville.
