Detroit (29-32) at Boston (34-27)
When: Sunday, June 11th 2017
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Boston -165/10
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The Boston Red Sox will look to continue their strong play at Fenway Park when they go for the three-game weekend sweep of the Detroit Tigers on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. Boston, who has won seven of their last eight home games, have outscored the Tigers 16-6 in taking the first two games of this series. Mitch Moreland is 5-for-7 with a homer, two doubles, five RBIs and four runs scored in the series for the Red Sox, who remain three games behind the first-place New York Yankees in the American League East standings. Moreland, who is currently on a five-game hitting streak, is 13-for-22 with six RBIs and seven doubles versus Detroit this season. Xander Bogaerts also has five hits in the series, increasing his home batting average to .360 for the season. Detroit’s bullpen has been terrible during the team’s three-game losing streak, giving up 19 of 27 runs from the seventh inning on. Ex Red Sox shortstop Jose Iglesias is 5-for-8 in the series and has recorded multiple hits in five of his last 10 games to increase his batting average (.289) by 35 points. The Tigers will look to improve on their 13-20 road record.
Pitchers: Tigers – Daniel Norris (2-4, 4.48 ERA) | Red Sox – Drew Pomeranz (6-3, 4.02)
Daniel Norris has been stuck on two wins for a while now as he has failed to register a victory in his last six starts after allowing four runs – three earned – in six innings of work in a home loss to the Los Angeles Angels last time out. He made his season debut against Boston on April 9th but did not factor in the decision after giving up three runs and seven hits in 6+ innings. Bogaerts is 3-for-5 and Hanley Ramirez 2-for-4 against Norris.
Drew Pomeranz has turned things around after failing to get through four innings in three straight starts. He has now won his last three outings and is coming off a win at the New York Yankees on Tuesday in which he allowed two runs over five innings. He struck out 19 and gave up a combined three runs over 13 innings in victories over the White Sox and Texas in his previous two outings. He is 2-3 with a 4.24 ERA in seven career appearances versus Detroit.
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I thought about taking the under in this one as nine of the last 12 between these two have pushed or gone under, but the Boston bats scare me right now. They’re averaging 8 runs a game this weekend and Norris has not been very good lately. Detroit is bad on the road and the Red Sox are rolling at home right now. I’ll take the runline. Don’t forget about Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Finals tonight!
Pick: Red Sox -1.5 +115
W/L TRENDS
| Detroit |
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Tigers are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
- Tigers are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Tigers are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
- Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 7-0 in Norris’ last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Tigers are 8-2 in Norris’ last 10 road starts.
- Tigers are 4-1 in Norris’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 7-2 in Norris’ last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Tigers are 7-3 in Norris’ last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 9-4 in Norris’ last 13 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 0-4 in Norris’ last 4 starts vs. American League East.
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| Boston |
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 Sunday games.
- Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a win.
- Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Red Sox are 36-17 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in Pomeranz’s last 7 home starts.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in Pomeranz’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 9-4 in Pomeranz’s last 13 starts.
- Red Sox are 2-6 in Pomeranz’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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OU TRENDS
| Detroit |
- Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 Sunday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Norris’ last 4 Sunday starts.
- Over is 6-0 in Norris’ last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Norris’ last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Norris’ last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Norris’ last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Norris’ last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 12-3-2 in Norris’ last 17 road starts.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Norris’ last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Norris’ last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Norris’ last 5 starts overall.
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| Boston |
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 Sunday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 14-4-1 in Red Sox last 19 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Pomeranz’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 11-2-1 in Pomeranz’s last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 7-2-2 in Pomeranz’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Pomeranz’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Pomeranz’s last 12 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Boston.
- Tigers are 18-38 in the last 56 meetings in Boston.
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