San Antonio (0-0) at Golden State (0-0)
When: Sunday, May 14th 2017
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
Time: 3:35 ET | TV: ABC
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In a matchup that everyone was looking forward to last season, the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors will finally hook-up in a series that matters – the Western Conference Finals. These were the top two teams last year, but the Spurs suffered an early exit in the postseason allowing the Warriors to coast to the Finals. Golden State has breezed through the first two rounds with sweeps over both Portland and Utah and will have a full week off to rest up for the Spurs. Golden State floods the floor with shooting weapons like Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson and is adding another in power forward Draymond Green, who is shooting 51.2% from 3-point range in the playoffs. Green, who is a leading contender along with San Antonio’s Kawhi Leonard for the Defensive Player of the Year Award, is the emotional leader of the team. The Warriors will once again be coached by Mike Brown, who is filling in for Steve Kerr as he deals with complications from back surgery. Thompson averaged 22.3 points during the regular season but reached 20 twice in the first eight playoff games.
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The Spurs have had to battle their way to the Conference finals. They got by the Memphis Grizzlies just fine, but had a big battle with Houston that ended with a 114-75 road victory in Game 6. The Spurs were pushed against the Rockets and enter the conference finals at less-than full strength with point guard Tony Parker (quadriceps tendon) out for the rest of the playoffs and Leonard nursing a sprained left ankle that kept him out of the clinching Game 6 win over the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Leonard will have a full four days off before Sunday’s opener and is expected to play against Golden State, which lost two of the three meetings against San Antonio in the regular season. Leonard’s absence allowed power forward LaMarcus Aldridge to take on a more prominent role, and he responded with 34 points and 12 rebounds against Houston in his best performance of the postseason. Shooting guard Jonathan Simmons averaged 13.2 points against the Rockets after posting 3.6 in the first round against Memphis.
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Golden State is going to be tough to guard on the perimeter with Parker out. The Warriors are eager to get back on the court and I think they come out hot and win by double-digits.
Pick: Warriors -10
ATS TRENDS
| San Antonio |
- Spurs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Conference Finals games.
- Spurs are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
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| Golden State |
- Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Warriors are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
- Warriors are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win.
- Warriors are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Warriors are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. Western Conference.
- Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Warriors are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Warriors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games.
- Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
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OU TRENDS
| San Antonio |
- Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Over is 11-1 in Spurs last 12 Sunday games.
- Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 Conference Finals games.
- Over is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 11-5 in Spurs last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Under is 13-6 in Spurs last 19 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
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| Golden State |
- Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 Conference Finals games.
- Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 21-8-1 in Warriors last 30 Sunday games.
- Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Under is 32-13 in Warriors last 45 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 12-5 in Warriors last 17 home games.
- Over is 9-4 in Warriors last 13 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 9-4 in Warriors last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 13-6 in Warriors last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Under is 33-16-2 in Warriors last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
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