Kansas City (20-27) at Cleveland (24-22)
When: Saturday, May 27th 2017
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
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The Kansas City Royals will go for a series win against the Cleveland Indians on Saturday after snapping an eight-game losing streak at Progressive Field on Friday. The Royals trailed by four runs early, but rallied for a 6-4 victory thanks to Brandon Moss’ three-run homer. The former Indian blasted his fifth homer in eight games and helped the Royals to their 20th win. Whit Merrifield recorded a pair of singles to extend his hitting streak to 11 games for Kansas City, while Jorge Bonifacio has hit safely in eight of his last nine and has four homers in the past seven games. Cleveland has dropped three of four since a big three-game sweep at red-hot Houston and was shutout in the final six innings Friday. Francisco Lindor takes an 11-game hitting streak into Saturday’s contest, while teammate Michael Brantley has hit safely in 10 straight for the Indians. Cleveland has split four meetings with Kansas City this season after going 14-5 against them in 2016. Cleveland 3B Jose Ramirez was 1-for-16 in the previous four games before homering for the first time this month on Friday.
Pitchers: Royals – Jason Vargas (5-3, 2.30 ERA) | Indians – Danny Salazar (3-4, 5.55)
Jason Vargas was 5-1 with a 1.01 ERA in his first seven starts but has not dropped his last two. He allowed nine runs in 10 innings combined after consecutive scoreless outings – one of them against the Indians on May 6th. Vargas has walked 11 batters in the last five games after issuing just two in his first four, while serving up three homers over the past two games. Jason Kipnis is 9-for-26 with a home run versus Vargas, who is 6-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 14 starts against Cleveland.
2016 All-Star Danny Salazar snapped a three-game winless streak Sunday at Houston when he allowed three runs on four hits over 5.2 innings in an 8-6 victory. Salazar, who has not had a very good start to 2017, had given up five runs in each of his previous two outings and has allowed two or fewer in three of nine starts – one against Kansas City when he allowed a pair in 4.2 innings on May 5th. Eric Hosmer is 12-for-30 with three homers against Salazar, who is 7-6 with a 3.63 ERA in 13 games versus the Royals.
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Kansas City finally won in Cleveland yesterday and could jump-start them to a turnaround. Vargas has struggled recently, but he’s going up against a pitcher who’s looked bad all year. Look for Hosmer to have a good night against Salazar and for the Royals to take the middle-game of the weekend series.
Pick: Royals +150
W/L TRENDS
| Kansas City |
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Royals are 7-3 in their last 10 Saturday games.
- Royals are 6-13 in their last 19 road games.
- Royals are 4-9 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 5-15 in their last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Royals are 5-18 in their last 23 vs. American League Central.
- Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
- Royals are 5-0 in Vargas’ last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 4-0 in Vargas’ last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 8-3 in Vargas’ last 11 starts vs. American League Central.
- Royals are 5-2 in Vargas’ last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Royals are 13-6 in Vargas’ last 19 starts.
- Royals are 1-4 in Vargas’ last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Royals are 1-4 in Vargas’ last 5 starts on grass.
- Royals are 1-4 in Vargas’ last 5 Saturday starts.
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| Cleveland |
- Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games.
- Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Indians are 5-12 in their last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
- Indians are 6-2 in Salazars last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 14-5 in Salazars last 19 home starts.
- Indians are 7-3 in Salazars last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 9-4 in Salazars last 13 starts vs. American League Central.
- Indians are 1-4 in Salazars last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Indians are 1-5 in Salazars last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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OU TRENDS
| Kansas City |
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 Saturday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Royals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 19-7-1 in Royals last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 25-10 in Royals last 35 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Royals last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 6-0 in Vargas’ last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 14-2 in Vargas’ last 16 starts overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Vargas’ last 8 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Vargas’ last 7 road starts.
- Under is 5-1 in Vargas’ last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 13-3 in Vargas’ last 16 starts on grass.
- Under is 12-3-2 in Vargas’ last 17 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 11-3 in Vargas’ last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 6-2 in Vargas’ last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 19-7-1 in Vargas’ last 27 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 23-9-2 in Vargas’ last 34 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Cleveland |
- Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 Saturday games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Indians last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Indians last 17 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 8-2 in Indians last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Indians last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Indians last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Indians last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Indians last 11 overall.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Indians last 11 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Salazars last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Salazars last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Salazars last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Salazars last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Salazars last 8 home starts.
- Over is 11-4-2 in Salazars last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 12-5-1 in Salazars last 18 starts overall.
- Over is 11-5-1 in Salazars last 17 starts on grass.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Indians are 4-0 in Salazars last 4 home starts vs. Royals.
- Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
- Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Royals are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings.
- Royals are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.
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