Houston (2-0) at Oklahoma City (0-2)
When: Friday, April 21st 2017
Where: Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City, OK
Time: 9:35 ET | TV: ESPN
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The Oklahoma City Thunder are in a must-win situation when they host the Houston Rockets for Game 3 of their first round series on Friday night at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Oklahoma City superstar Russell Westbrook produced the highest-scoring triple-double in playoff history with 51 points, 13 assists and 10 rebounds in Game 2 but tired out in the fourth quarter and the Thunder fell 115-111. Westbrook was just 4-of-18 shooting while playing the entire final quarter as Oklahoma City slowly let a 15-point, first-half lead slip away. Coach Billy Donovan questioned his decision not to have Westbrook take his customary rest on the bench to start the fourth quarter of Game 2, but Westbrook insisted afterward that he wasn’t tired. The final 12 minutes was full of errant shots from Westbrook as he finished 17-of-43 from the field and is just 23-of-66 in the series. Part of the problem in Game 2 was that nobody from the supporting class stepped up and shooting guard Victor Oladipo has been terrible in the series by averaging 8.5 points on 5-of-26 shooting. Some say Westbrook is taking too many shots, but when you’re shooting guard is just 5-of-26, there’s really no other option.
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Rockets guard James Harden scored 35 points and helped keep his club in the game when it appeared the Thunder were on their way to evening their best-of-seven series. Houston averaged just 102.5 points – nearly 13 points below its average – in two regular-season visits to Oklahoma City and struggled in the fourth quarters with just 13 and 16 points in splitting the two games. The Rockets received 93 of their 115 points in Game 2 from the backcourt quartet of Harden, Eric Gordon (22 points), Lou Williams (21) and Patrick Beverley (15). Primarily known for his defensive ability, Beverley is averaging 18 points on 14-of-22 shooting in the first two games. Forward Ryan Anderson is averaging four points on 2-of-14 shooting, including 11 straight misses from 3-point range. Harden was just 10-of-39 from the field in the two regular season games at Chesapeake Energy Arena and 3-of-16 from three-point territory.
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Despite Houston struggling at Oklahoma City this season, I still believe they are capable of winning both games here and closing this series out quickly. The Thunder have nobody besides Westbrook and he can’t do it himself. I’ll take the road dog in this one.
Pick: Rockets +3
ATS TRENDS
| Houston |
- Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Rockets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.
- Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Rockets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Rockets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.
- Rockets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
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| Oklahoma City |
- Thunder are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 home games.
- Thunder are 38-16-3 ATS in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Thunder are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Thunder are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Thunder are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
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OU TRENDS
| Houston |
- Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 Friday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Under is 7-2 in Rockets last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Rockets last 13 road games.
- Under is 12-4 in Rockets last 16 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 22-8-1 in Rockets last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Rockets last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-3 in Rockets last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 46-22 in Rockets last 68 vs. NBA Northwest.
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| Oklahoma City |
- Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 games following a straight up loss.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Rockets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Rockets are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
- Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
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