The Milwaukee Bucks took a big step in winning their first playoff series in 16 years when they stole Game 1 in Toronto and garnered a split in the first two contests with the Raptors. Giannis Antetokounmpo was the hero in the opener, hitting 13-of-18 shots, but was limited to 9-of-24 from the field in Game 2 despite recording 24 points and 15 rebounds. “He’s a heck of a player – you have to give it to him with the things he’s able to do out on the court,” Toronto All-Star guard DeMar DeRozan told reporters. Antetokounmpo is averaging 26 points and 11.5 rebounds in the series, but sees Toronto adjusting defensively to his play. Antetokounmpo could use a more consistent effort from shooting guard Khris Middleton, who scored 20 points in Game 2 after struggling to 10 on 4-of-15 shooting in the opener. Backup center Greg Monroe is averaging 16 points and 9.5 rebounds through two games. Shooting guard Malcolm Brogdon could use a rebound game as he went 3-of-11 from the field in Game 2 after scoring 16 points in Game 1 including four three-pointers. The Bucks were 23-18 at home this season – the same as Toronto’s road record.
The Raptors regained momentum with a 106-100 victory in Game 2 and avoided being in a big hole heading to Milwaukee. Toronto All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry was the Game 2 hero by scoring 22 points after he recorded just four points on 2-of-11 shooting in the opener. He has traditionally struggled in the postseason and the Game 1 showing prompted reminders of last season’s poor postseason play. The Raptors were a sizzling 14-of-29 from 3-point range in Game 2 after going to 5-of-23 in the opener. Power forward Serge Ibaka nailed four 3-pointers in Game 2 to go along with a game-high +13 rating and is averaging 17.5 points and 10.5 rebounds in the series. Center Jonas Valanciunas was one of five Toronto players to score in double-figures in the Game 2 victory, recording a double-double (10 points, 10 boards). The Raptors have won seven of their last nine games overall going back to the regular season.
The Raptors were one of the better road teams this season and I expect their experience and depth will trump the Bucks home court advantage in Game 3. Look for Lowry to have back-to-back solid games.
Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Raptors are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Bucks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Bucks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 Thursday games.
Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 12-3 in Raptors last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Under is 16-5 in Raptors last 21 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 15-6 in Raptors last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Bucks last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 Thursday games.
Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Bucks last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 5-1-1 in Bucks last 7 overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Bucks last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 8-2-2 in Bucks last 12 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Under is 16-4-1 in Bucks last 21 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Under is 9-3 in Bucks last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 15-5-1 in Bucks last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-4-1 in Bucks last 15 games following a ATS win.
Under is 9-4 in Bucks last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
HEAD TO HEAD
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
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