Boston (25-9) at NY Yankees (24-10)
When: Tuesday, May 8th 2018
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: New York -175/8.5
The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox have already ‘fought’ this season during a three-game series at Fenway Park, and the two heavyweights will battle in the first of three more at Yankee Stadium Tuesday night. First-place Boston (25-9) leads New York (24-10) by just one game in the American League East, but the Yankees are on fire, winning 18 of their last 21 since losing two of three at Boston from April 10-12. New York’s victory in the middle game of that series was marred by a bench-clearing brawl which resulted in the Red Sox’s Joe Kelly and the Yankees’ Tyler Austin getting suspended six and four games, respectively. Boston looked as if they would runaway with the division this season by winning 17 of its first 19 games, while the Yankees were struggling out of the gate, but New York has won six-straight and are 15-1 in their last 16 games while winning nine straight at home. Yankees’ catcher Gary Sanchez is hitting .198, but his nine home runs and 28 RBIs are each second on the club to SS Didi Gregorius (10, 30). Boston star outfielder Mookie Betts, who entered Monday leading the majors in home runs (13), runs (36) and batting average (.355), is expected to play after leaving Sunday’s game in Texas when he was hit in the shoulder by a thrown ball running the bases. New York’s Luis Severino opposes lefty Drew Pomeranz in the opener.
Pitchers: Red Sox – Drew Pomeranz (1-1, 6.14 ERA) | Yankees – Luis Severino (5-1, 2.11)
Pomeranz is coming off his first victory of the season when he allowed three runs, eight hits and two walks while striking out three in six innings of a 5-4 victory over Kansas City on Wednesday. Pomeranz had allowed seven runs in 8.2 innings over his first two starts of the season since recovering from a forearm injury suffered in spring training. Sanchez is 8-for-18 with three home runs versus Pomeranz, who is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) versus New York and 3-2, 3.12 ERA in five appearances at Yankee Stadium.
Severino recorded his first career shutout last week in an impressive performance at Houston, scattering five hits and a walk while striking out a season-high 10 in a 4-0 victory. Andrew Benintendi (.244, one home run this season) is 8-for-16 with two home runs and nine RBIs versus Severino, who is 2-5 with a 4.82 ERA in nine games (eight starts) versus Boston after allowing five runs and eight hits in five innings of a 14-1 loss at Fenway Park on April 10th.
Severino has been the Yankees’ best pitcher this season, but he’s had trouble with Boston in the past including earlier this season. I can see the Red Sox getting a few runs off him, and I can definitely see the hot Yankees ripping Pomeranz. Take the over.
Pick: OVER 8.5 +100
BETTING TRENDS:
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 20-6 in their last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 games following an off day.
- Red Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 road games.
- Red Sox are 24-9 in their last 33 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 51-20 in their last 71 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 35-16 in their last 51 Tuesday games.
- Red Sox are 38-18 in their last 56 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 42-20 in their last 62 games following a win.
- Red Sox are 42-20 in their last 62 overall.
- Red Sox are 35-17 in their last 52 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 9-1 in Pomeranz’s last 10 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 7-2 in Pomeranz’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 17-5 in Pomeranz’s last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 10-3 in Pomeranz’s last 13 starts vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in Pomeranz’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 8-3 in Pomeranz’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 10-4 in Pomeranz’s last 14 road starts.
- Red Sox are 20-8 in Pomeranz’s last 28 starts.
- Red Sox are 10-4 in Pomeranz’s last 14 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 12-5 in Pomeranz’s last 17 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Red Sox are 12-5 in Pomeranz’s last 17 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 7-3 in Pomeranz’s last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 11-1 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a win.
- Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 Tuesday games.
- Yankees are 38-13 in their last 51 home games.
- Yankees are 45-18 in their last 63 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Yankees are 44-18 in their last 62 games on grass.
- Yankees are 47-22 in their last 69 overall.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Severino’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Severino’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 9-2 in Severino’s last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 9-2 in Severino’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 21-5 in Severino’s last 26 starts.
- Yankees are 8-2 in Severino’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 17-5 in Severino’s last 22 home starts.
- Yankees are 20-6 in Severino’s last 26 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 16-5 in Severino’s last 21 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-2 in Severino’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 19-7 in Severino’s last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 5-2 in Severino’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 2-6 in Severino’s last 8 Tuesday starts.
- Over is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 21-5-2 in Red Sox last 28 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 17-5 in Red Sox last 22 games following an off day.
- Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League East.
- Over is 13-6-1 in Red Sox last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 17-8 in Red Sox last 25 Tuesday games.
- Over is 6-1 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Pomeranz’s last 6 Tuesday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Pomeranz’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 8-3 in Pomeranz’s last 11 road starts.
- Over is 10-4 in Pomeranz’s last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 10-4 in Pomeranz’s last 14 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 7-3 in Pomeranz’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 Tuesday games.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Yankees last 10 vs. American League East.
- Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 home games.
- Over is 9-3 in Yankees last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 8-3-1 in Yankees last 12 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games following an off day.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Yankees last 15 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Severino’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Severino’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Severino’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 15-5 in Severino’s last 20 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 19-7 in Severino’s last 26 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 19-7-1 in Severino’s last 27 home starts.
- Over is 16-6 in Severino’s last 22 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-2 in Severino’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 16-7 in Severino’s last 23 starts overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Pomeranz’s last 6 starts vs. Yankees.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts vs. Yankees.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in New York.
