Boston (64-49) at Tampa Bay (58-56)
When: Wednesday, August 9th 2017
Where: Tropicana Field, St Petersburg, FL
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Boston -119/9
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The Boston Red Sox look to extend their gap in the American League East when they host the Tampa Bay Rays for the finale of a brief two-game set on Wednesday night. The Red Sox used the dominant pitching combo of Chris Sale and closer Craig Kimbrel to shut down the Rays in the opener on Tuesday 2-0. It was Boston’s seventh straight victory and increased their lead over Tampa Bay to 6.5 games in the East and four over the New York Yankees. Newcomers to the lineup Eduardo Nunez and Rafael Devers accounted for both RBIs in Tuesday’s victory. Nunez is hitting .422 in his first 10 games with the Red Sox. Second baseman Dustin Pedroia (knee) came off the DL and served as DH on Tuesday for Boston but is expected to return to the field Wednesday. Tampa Bay has lost three of four and are tied with both the Kansas City Royals and Seattle Mariners for the second AL Wild Card spot. Evan Longoria is 3-for-22 over the last six games for a Rays team that is 30-26 at Tropicana Field. Jake Odorizzi will look to halt the Red Sox winning streak when he opposed fellow righty Rick Porcello.
Pitchers: Red Sox – Rick Porcello (5-14, 4.70 ERA) | Rays – Jake Odorizzi (6-4, 4.47)
Porcello was aided by terrific run support in his last outing to help him stop a six-start winless streak. The reigning AL Cy Young Award winner allowed five runs and seven hits over 5.1 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday, failing to go at least six innings for just the second time in 23 starts this season. Porcello had one of his best starts of the season on July 8th at Tampa Bay, allowing one run and six hits in eight innings but still suffered the loss in a 1-0 final.
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Odorizzi will make his first start in two weeks as he comes back from a stint on the disabled list due to a lower back strain and is hoping to find the form he showed in the start before he felt the injury. Odorizzi allowed one run and one hit in seven innings at Oakland on July 17th before exiting after four innings against Texas on July 23rd. Odorizzi was not good against Boston on July 7th, when he was hit for seven runs on eight hits and three walks over 4.1 innings.
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Boston is hot – Tampa is not. That’s basically what is boils down to here, plus, I tend to shy away from pitchers coming off the DL. Look for Boston’s offense to wake-up after last night’s showing and pummel the Rays tonight.
Pick: Red Sox -119
W/L TRENDS
| Boston |
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 games on astroturf.
- Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.
- Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 9-2 in Porcello’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 14-5 in Porcello’s last 19 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Porcello’s last 5 starts.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Porcello’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 1-5 in Porcello’s last 6 road starts.
- Red Sox are 1-6 in Porcello’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 1-7 in Porcello’s last 8 Wednesday starts.
- Red Sox are 1-8 in Porcello’s last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 0-9 in Porcello’s last 9 starts vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 0-7 in Porcello’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 0-4 in Porcello’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Tampa Bay |
- Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 3-7 in their last 10 games on astroturf.
- Rays are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Rays are 4-0 in Odorizzi’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-1 in Odorizzi’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-1 in Odorizzi’s last 6 Wednesday starts.
- Rays are 3-8 in Odorizzi’s last 11 starts.
- Rays are 3-9 in Odorizzi’s last 12 starts vs. American League East.
- Rays are 2-6 in Odorizzi’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 1-4 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 1-5 in Odorizzi’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 0-4 in Odorizzi’s last 4 home starts.
- Rays are 0-5 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts on astroturf.
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OU TRENDS
| Boston |
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 Wednesday games.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.
- Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Porcello’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 7-0 in Porcello’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Porcello’s last 8 Wednesday starts.
- Under is 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Porcello’s last 14 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 16-7-1 in Porcello’s last 24 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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| Tampa Bay |
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 on astroturf.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 19-6-1 in Rays last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 13-5 in Rays last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 11-5 in Rays last 16 Wednesday games.
- Over is 4-0 in Odorizzi’s last 4 Wednesday starts.
- Over is 6-0 in Odorizzi’s last 6 starts on astroturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Odorizzi’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Odorizzi’s last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Odorizzi’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-1 in Odorizzi’s last 9 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-2 in Odorizzi’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Odorizzi’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 5-1 in Odorizzi’s last 6 starts vs. Red Sox.
- Under is 4-1 in Odorizzi’s last 5 home starts vs. Red Sox.
- Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. Rays.
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Tampa Bay.
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