San Diego (45-48) at Miami (34-57)
When: Tuesday, July 16th, 2019
Where: Marlins Park,
Miami, Florida
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FS San Diego,
FS Florida
Opening Odds: San Diego -140/8.5
The San Diego Padres enter a nine-game road trip with just three wins in their last 11 games with all the victories coming at the MLB-best Los Angeles Dodgers prior to the All-Star Break. The Padres began the second half by getting swept at home by the Atlanta Braves and they’ll try to regroup against the NL-worst Miami Marlins on Tuesday night. The Marlins are the only team not within striking distance of an NL Wild Card berth and are just 16-31 at home this season. One bright spot for the team is tonight’s starter Jordan Yamamoto, who has been surprisingly dominant in his brief stint in the majors. The Padres are just three games out of a wild card spot and will send Logan Allen to the hill in hopes of breaking the team’s three-game losing streak. San Diego SS Fernando Tatis Jr. is coming off a four-hit performance on Sunday and is 9-for-17 in his last four games. The Marlins took two of three in San Diego back in early June by scoring nine runs in each of their two victories and were heavy underdogs in all three contests.
Pitchers: Padres – Logan Allen (2-1, 4.50 ERA) | Marlins – Jordan Yamamoto (3-0, 1.24)
Allen was hit hard by the San Francisco Giants in his last start July 1st after posting two solid outings to begin his career. The Giants tagged him for six runs and seven hits over four innings in the 13-2 setback. He pitched seven scoreless innings in his first start against Milwaukee then allowed just two runs in six innings at Baltimore. Allen pitched in relief on July 4th at the Dodgers, allowing two runs on two hits in one inning of work.
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Yamamoto has started five games to begin his career and three of them were scoreless outings including last time out at Atlanta. He held the Braves to just two hits while striking out seven but the Marlins lost the game 1-0. He does have 15 walks in 29 innings, but has yet to allow a home run.
I’m going to give the edge to Yamamoto and the Marlins in this one. He has been really tough to hit and the Padres are batting just .213 in their last 10 games and their bullpen has been bad. This is not the most attractive game of the night, but I really like Miami here.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 93-63 +2013 units on the season after a 7-2 run!
Pick: Marlins +115
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BETTING TRENDS:
Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Padres are 16-7 in their last 23 games following an off day.
Padres are 6-13 in their last 19 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.
Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 games on grass.
Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Marlins are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League West.
Marlins are 17-35 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.
Marlins are 17-35 in their last 52 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Marlins are 18-37 in their last 55 vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 21-47 in their last 68 games following a loss.
Marlins are 12-29 in their last 41 games following an off day.
Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Marlins are 5-14 in their last 19 home games.
Marlins are 7-21 in their last 28 Tuesday games.
Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.
Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games on grass.
Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Marlins are 4-1 in Yamamoto’s last 5 starts.
Marlins are 4-1 in Yamamoto’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 games following an off day.
Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games.
Over is 5-0-2 in Padres last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 overall.
Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 on grass.
Under is 5-1-1 in Padres last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1-1 in Padres last 6 vs. National League East.
Over is 12-3-1 in Padres last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Over is 11-3-2 in Padres last 16 Tuesday games.
Under is 3-1-2 in Padres last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-2 in Padres last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-3-2 in Padres last 13 games following a loss.
Over is 5-2-2 in Padres last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 17-7-5 in Padres last 29 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 home games.
Under is 6-2-1 in Marlins last 9 overall.
Under is 6-2-1 in Marlins last 9 on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 6-2-2 in Marlins last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 games following a loss.
Under is 7-3 in Marlins last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 18-8-2 in Marlins last 28 Tuesday games.
Over is 13-6-3 in Marlins last 22 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
