Mets vs Twins Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [7/16/19]

NY Mets (42-51) at Minnesota (58-34)
When: Tuesday, July 16th, 2019
Where: Target Field,
Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FS North, SNY
Opening Odds: Minnesota -147/10


The New York Mets have been maybe the most dysfunctional team in the league this season, but at least they’ve been competitive at home, posting a 23-19 record. The road has been a different story and they will continue their nine-game trip with a pair of interleague games in Minnesota against the Twins. The road trek started off on the right foot with New York taking two of three at last place Miami over the weekend, but only the Kansas City Royals have more losses away from home than the Mets 32. The news on Monday was not good in New York, as scheduled starter for Tuesday – Zack Wheeler – was placed on the injured list due to right shoulder fatigue. Second baseman Robinson Cano has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, going 7-for-17 during his current four game hitting streak with two homers. The Twins extended their lead over Cleveland to 6.5 games by taking two of three from the Indians over the weekend, just missing out on the sweep in Sunday’s 4-3 setback. Miguel Sano is riding a career-high 11-game hitting streak entering Tuesday’s contest in which he is batting .368.

Pitchers: Mets – Steven Matz (5-6, 4.89 ERA) | Twins – Michael Pineda (6-4, 4.56)

With Wheeler on the shelf, the Mets will call on Steven Matz to come back from the bullpen to make his 17th start of the season. Things were not going well for the lefty, which is why he was demoted to the pen after giving up 14 runs in just 11.1 innings over his last three starts in June. Matz will be seeing the Twins for the first time and has a 4.62 ERA in interleague play.

The Mets and Twins split two games back in New York in April.


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Michael Pineda has been very good in his last five outings outside of a poor showing at Kansas City on June 23rd in which he surrendered five runs and eight hits over five innings. The other four outings were all Twins victories and he allowed a total of four runs in those outings. He last pitched on July 6th against Texas and limited the Rangers to one run and five hits while striking out nine in six innings. Pineda saw the Mets twice in 2015 as a member of the Yankees and won both games, allowing one run over 13 innings.

I always try and find a reason to play the underdog when it comes to baseball, but sometimes I just can’t justify it. This is one of those cases. You have one of the best home teams playing one of the worst road teams and nine times out of 10, the home team will win. Take the Twins.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 93-63 +2013 units on the season after a 7-2 run!

Pick: Twins -148


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BETTING TRENDS:

Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League Central.
Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 Tuesday games.
Mets are 6-13 in their last 19 interleague road games.
Mets are 5-11 in their last 16 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 5-11 in their last 16 overall.
Mets are 5-11 in their last 16 games on grass.
Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win.
Mets are 10-27 in their last 37 road games.
Mets are 7-19 in their last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 5-17 in their last 22 during game 1 of a series.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.
Mets are 4-0 in Matz’s last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Mets are 9-20 in Matz’s last 29 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 3-7 in Matz’s last 10 starts with 9 or more days of rest.
Mets are 3-10 in Matz’s last 13 Tuesday starts.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 1-6 in Matz’s last 7 road starts.
Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts.
Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts on grass.
Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 interleague starts.

Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games.
Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 Tuesday games.
Twins are 24-8 in their last 32 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 games following an off day.
Twins are 50-17 in their last 67 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Twins are 42-17 in their last 59 vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 36-15 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 36-16 in their last 52 home games.
Twins are 24-11 in their last 35 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 38-18 in their last 56 games following a loss.
Twins are 27-13 in their last 40 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 6-13 in their last 19 interleague games.
Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 starts.
Twins are 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 starts on grass.

Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-2-2 in Mets last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 12-4-5 in Mets last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 vs. American League Central.
Over is 10-4-2 in Mets last 16 road games.
Over is 46-20-6 in Mets last 72 Tuesday games.
Over is 31-15-7 in Mets last 53 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 35-17-5 in Mets last 57 games following an off day.
Over is 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
Over is 5-2-2 in Matz’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-2 in Matz’s last 7 interleague starts.
Under is 21-9-1 in Matz’s last 31 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Matz’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
Over is 8-1-1 in Twins last 10 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 interleague home games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 9-3 in Twins last 12 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 18-7-1 in Twins last 26 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 home games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 games following a loss.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-2-2 in Twins last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-5-1 in Twins last 18 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1-1 in Pineda’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Mets are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
Under is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings.

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