Baltimore (31-28) at NY Yankees (35-23)
When: Saturday, June 10th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: New York -175/9
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The New York Yankees will look to continue their recent domination of division opponents when they host the Baltimore Orioles in the middle game of a weekend series on Saturday night. The Yankees have won three in a row to increase their lead in the American League East after last night’s 8-2 triumph over the Orioles. New York also took the final two games against Boston prior to Friday by outscoring the Red Sox 17-1. Aaron Hicks, who was a bench player to start the season, bashed two home runs on Friday to give him 10 on the season and a .318 batting average. Manager Joe Girardi hinted that Hicks would see a lot of playing time even when Jacoby Ellsbury returns from the disabled list. Speaking of injuries, Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman (shoulder) is expected to throw a simulated game on Saturday as part of his rehab. Baltimore fell to 10-18 on the road with Friday’s loss and dropped four of their last six games while allowing at least five runs in each of those six contests. Struggling Chris Tillman will try and turn things around against New York’s Luis Severino. Horse racing fans will have just enough time to catch the Belmont Stakes before heading over to the stadium for the baseball game.
Pitchers: Orioles – Chris Tillman (1-3, 5.59 ERA) | Yankees – Luis Severino (4-2, 2.90)
Tillman has been horrible all season and that includes his last outing when he was hit for five runs – three earned – on six hits and four walks in six innings while suffering a loss against Boston. Tillman has issued 15 free passes and 38 hits in 29 total innings and surrendered four home runs in his last two outings. Tillman’s worst start came against New York on May 30th, when he was blasted for five runs on seven hits and two walks in 2.2 innings.
Severino is going in the opposite direction, allowing a total of four runs in 26+ innings over his last four starts and owns 29 strikeouts and six walks in that span. He did not receive any run support at Toronto on Sunday and thus received a no-decision despite allowing just two runs in seven innings. Severino went up against Tillman on May 30th and cruised to a win while surrendering one run and striking out eight in 6.1 innings.
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This is a no-brainer. Baltimore has been terrible on the road. Tillman has been terrible wherever he pitches and the Yankees are crushing teams right now. Look for another easy runline winner.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 +105
W/L TRENDS
| Baltimore |
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Orioles are 1-10 in their last 11 road games.
- Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 8-1 in Tillman’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 14-5 in Tillman’s last 19 starts vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 7-3 in Tillman’s last 10 road starts.
- Orioles are 2-5 in Tillman’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 2-5 in Tillman’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Orioles are 0-4 in Tillman’s last 4 Saturday starts.
|
| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 Saturday games.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 19-8 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 22-10 in their last 32 during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Severino’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 3-7 in Severino’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
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OU TRENDS
| Baltimore |
- Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-0 in Tillman’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in Tillman’s last 10 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-2 in Tillman’s last 9 starts on grass.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Tillman’s last 21 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 9-3 in Tillman’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-8-1 in Tillman’s last 30 Saturday starts.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Tillman’s last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Tillman’s last 27 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Tillman’s last 27 road starts.
- Under is 36-16-2 in Tillman’s last 54 starts overall.
- Under is 34-16-1 in Tillman’s last 51 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
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| NY Yankees |
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 14-5 in Yankees last 19 vs. American League East.
- Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Severino’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Severino’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Severino’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Severino’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Severino’s last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 7-3 in Severino’s last 10 starts vs. American League East.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
- Orioles are 4-1 in Tillman’s last 5 starts vs. Yankees.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Tillman’s last 9 road starts vs. Yankees.
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