Denver (42-20) at San Antonio (35-29)
When: Monday, March 4th, 2019
Where: AT&T Center,
San Antonio, Texas
Time: 8:35 ET | TV: Altitude,
FS Southwest
Opening Odds: Denver -2/227.5
The San Antonio Spurs nearly lost all control of their season during their annual rodeo trip that spanned the All-Star Break, but they’ve returned home and seem like a completely different team. The Spurs look for their third straight victory when they host the surging Denver Nuggets on Tuesday night at AT&T Center. The Spurs went 1-7 on their eight-game road trip and dropped all the way to eighth place in the Western Conference standings, with the only win coming at lowly Memphis 108-107 as seven-point favorites. The only game they covered was a three-point loss at Toronto as eight-point dogs. The Spurs are coming off two double-digit victories over Detroit and third-place Oklahoma City to stay three games clear of ninth-place Sacramento entering Monday’s action. The Nuggets are still trying to catch Golden State for the top spot and sit 1.5 games back after dropping their last two home games to Utah and New Orleans. Denver had a five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS) prior to those two setbacks and are seeking their first win in San Antonio since March 4th, 2012. The home team has won the last eight games in the series, including San Antonio’s 111-103 victory the day after Christmas.
Part of Denver’s issues in their latest two losses was superstar Nikola Jokic was unable to get going. He was 5-of-15 from the floor in the loss to Utah on Thursday, then played just 22 minutes on Saturday due to foul trouble. Jokic was still able to provide 20 points on 7-of-11 shooting, nine rebounds and seven assists on Saturday, but will need to stay on the court more to beat San Antonio. Isaiah Thomas produced 12 points in 15 minutes off the bench versus the Pelicans, but was just 5-of-14 from the floor and is 8-for-25 from long range in his first six games with the Nuggets. Denver will have a day off before playing the Lakers in L.A. on Wednesday.
All-Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge and small forward Rudy Gay helped San Antonio upset the Thunder on Saturday, with Adridge scoring 27 points on 10-of-18 shooting. Aldridge scored at least 24 points in each of the last three games, while Gay scored 22 points on 9-of-16 shooting in 26 minutes off the bench against the Thunder. In Gay’s 12 years in the league, he’s never shot better than 39.6 percent from three-point land in a season, but has drained 42.8 percent in 2018-19 including 50 percent in February. The Spurs will be back out on the road Wednesday against Atlanta.
The home team has dominated this series lately and Denver has not won here in exactly seven years to the day. The Spurs are back home and playing well and should be able to keep that momentum going against a Denver team that is 11-18 ATS on the road.
Pick: Spurs PK
Nuggets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Southwest.
Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Spurs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Spurs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Spurs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games.
Spurs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Northwest.
Spurs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS win.
Spurs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Spurs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Spurs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 road games.
Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 20-7 in Spurs last 27 vs. NBA Northwest.
Over is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 games following a straight up win.
Under is 32-14 in Spurs last 46 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 37-17 in Spurs last 54 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in San Antonio.
Road team is 27-12 ATS in the last 39 meetings.
Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.
