Notre Dame (8-1) at Miami FL (8-0)
When: Saturday, November 11th 2017
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Time: 8:00 ET | TV: ABC
Opening Odds: Notre Dame -1.5/57.5
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The Miami Hurricanes and Notre Dame Fighting Irish renew their intense storied rivalry on a huge stage Saturday night as both teams are in great position to make it to the College Football Playoffs this season. The Hurricanes sit atop the ACC Coastal standings and have a magic number of one to clinch after last week’s 28-10 victory over ACC rival and then-No. 13 Virginia Tech, while the Fighting Irish continued to roll with a 48-37 triumph over Wake Forest. It will be the first time since 1989 that both schools have been ranked in the Top 10 at the time of their meeting, with Brian Kelly’s Irish sitting third in the College Football Playoff rankings and Mark Richt’s Hurricanes jumping up to seventh. Notre Dame’s only loss this season was to now No. 1 Georgia by one point, but have been easing past the rest of their opponents. Notre Dame is led by a terrific rushing attack led by Heisman hopeful Josh Adams, who had helped the Irish run for almost 1,000 more yards rushing this year than all of last season. Miami is not plowing through their schedule like Notre Dame, often needing clutch plays to keep its 13-game winning streak alive. The Hurricanes last loss came at Notre Dame last season (30-27), but they showed Virginia Tech that they have the offensive weapons and defensive speed and muscle to compete against anyone right now. The Irish hold an 18-7-1 series advantage, but the Hurricanes have won five straight meetings in Miami.
The Irish ground attack (324.8 yards per game) is getting gaping holes from a terrific offensive line and Adams (132.3 average) has made opponents pay with his big-play ability as he has seven touchdown runs of at least 60 yards this season, although his streak of four straight games with a TD rush of over 70 yards was snapped last week against Wake Forest. The Irish defense is only giving up a 17th-best 18.4 points a game, but has a little trouble stopping the passing attack. Opponents have thrown for an average of 245.3 yards a game (90th in the nation) and 15 scores, but their ability to stop the run and a potent offense, has them right were they need to be.
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Miami also has a quick-strike offense led by quarterback Malik Rosier, who averages 283 yards passing a game and has dangerous weapons to throw to. Miami has a pretty decent back of their own in Travis Homer, who is averaging 6.4 yards a carry and has seven touchdowns and another 15 grabs out of the backfield. The Hurricane’s defense, which leads the nation at tackles for loss per game (8.8), still have games in which they surrender too many yards, allowing 176 or more on the ground in the four games prior to limiting Virginia Tech to 102. Turnovers have been a big part of Miami’s defense, getting four more last week against Virginia Tech to give them 20 takeaways (13 interceptions, seven fumble recoveries) on the season to rank fourth in the nation.
TCU VS OKLAHOMA PREVIEW AND PREDICTION
This game will come down to the line of scrimmage, and that edge goes to Notre Dame. Their ability to run the ball will be key to sustaining drives and keeping Miami’s offense on the sidelines. The Irish will wear down Miami in the second half and pull away for the win.
Pick: Notre Dame -3
TRENDS:
- Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Fighting Irish are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Hurricanes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Hurricanes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Hurricanes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.
- Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 12-1 in Fighting Irish last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Fighting Irish last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 13-3 in Fighting Irish last 16 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Fighting Irish last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 8-3 in Fighting Irish last 11 games overall.
- Over is 8-3 in Fighting Irish last 11 non-conference games.
- Over is 10-4 in Fighting Irish last 14 games in November.
- Under is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 12-5 in Fighting Irish last 17 road games.
- Over is 7-3 in Fighting Irish last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 25-12 in Fighting Irish last 37 vs. ACC.
- Under is 6-0 in Hurricanes last 6 games overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Hurricanes last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 6-0 in Hurricanes last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Hurricanes last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 44-20 in Hurricanes last 64 non-conference games.
- Under is 35-16-1 in Hurricanes last 52 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
