North Carolina (12-2, 1-0) at Florida State (11-2, 0-1)
When: Wednesday, January 3rd 2018
Where: Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
Time: 7:00 ET | TV: ESPN2
Opening Odds: Florida State -1/162.5
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The North Carolina Tar Heels begin a tough week in the rugged Atlantic Coast Conference with a visit to Tallahassee to take on the Florida State Seminoles on Wednesday night. The Tar Heels shot just 39.7% from the field and had to score the final eight points of the game to beat Wake Forest in the ACC opener 73-69 at home Saturday. North Carolina head coach Roy Williams was “Not pleased at all” after the win, but feels this can create some motivation in his team. The Tar Heels, who play at No. 8 Virginia on Saturday, have still won seven of their last eight and go for an eighth consecutive win over the Seminoles after averaging 101 points in the last two meetings. Florida State went toe-to-toe with second-ranked Duke on Saturday, but couldn’t hold onto a halftime lead and fell 100-93 as senior guard Braian Angola poured in a career-high 23 points.
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Junior forward Luke Maye recorded his eighth double-double of the season against Wake and is averaging team-bests of 18.4 points on 51.5% shooting and 10.9 boards a game. Senior guard Joel Berry II is shooting just 38.6% from the field, but still averages 17.2 points per game, while fellow guard Kenny Williams (12.4) has nailed 27 of his 56 attempts from 3-point range. Senior guard Cameron Johnson, a transfer from Pittsburgh, has returned from an injury to record 35 points in three games.
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Senior forward Phil Cofer also had a big night against the Dukies with 28 points to raise his season average to 14.5 – second behind junior guard Terance Mann (14.6). Cofer is also shooting a crisp 57% from the field on the season. Mann scored just 13 total points in the last two games, but stands eighth overall in the ACC in field goal percentage at 62.3%. Angola (12.5 points), who averaged 4.6 point last season, recorded five of his team’s 15 made three-pointers in the loss at Duke. Florida State will play at Miami on Sunday.
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It’s tough to win on the road in this conference and Florida State is definitely a force in the ACC, but North Carolina is the defending champs and they got a wake-up call last Saturday. I can see the Tar Heels being focused in this one and pull it out in the end.
Pick: North Carolina +2
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Tar Heels are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
- Tar Heels are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss.
- Tar Heels are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
- Seminoles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Seminoles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Seminoles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Seminoles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Seminoles are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Tar Heels last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Tar Heels last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Tar Heels last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 Wednesday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Tar Heels last 6 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 12-3-1 in Tar Heels last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Tar Heels last 10 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Tar Heels last 14 vs. Atlantic Coast.
- Under is 4-1 in Seminoles last 5 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Seminoles last 6 vs. Atlantic Coast.
- Over is 12-3-1 in Seminoles last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 18-7-1 in Seminoles last 26 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Seminoles last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 7-3 in Seminoles last 10 Wednesday games.
- Over is 20-9 in Seminoles last 29 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 31-14 in Seminoles last 45 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 35-17-1 in Seminoles last 53 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tar Heels are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Florida State.
- Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings.
