Washington (48-42) at Philadelphia (47-44)
When: Saturday, July 13th, 2019
Where: Citizens Bank Park,
Philadelphia, PA
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -110/8
The Philadelphia Phillies have been passed up by the Washington Nationals and will try and end a four-game losing streak to their NL East rivals when they continue their weekend series on Saturday night. The Phillies came out of the All-Star Break and mustered just one extra-base hit in Friday’s 4-0 setback to fall 1.5 games behind Washington for the top wild card spot, but still maintain the second position by a half-game. It was Philadelphia’s 13th loss in its last 21 contests – a stretch that includes four consecutive defeats against Washington. Former National Bryce Harper has heated up, batting .322 with four homers, 12 RBI, 12 walks and 12 runs scored over his last 16 games. Washington won for the 16th time in its last 20 games and improved to 29-11 since starting the season 19-31. The Nats have been doing with some great pitching, including six scoreless innings from Stephen Strasburg on Friday. Nationals starting pitchers have posted a 1.20 ERA and combined to strike out 71 batters across 52.2 innings over the last eight games. Saturday’s pitching matchup should be a good one with Patrick Corbin opposing Phillies’ ace Aaron Nola.
Pitchers: Nationals – Patrick Corbin (7-5, 3.34 ERA) | Phillies – Aaron Nola (8-2, 3.74)
Corbin has been one of the best pitchers in the league over the last month, but hasn’t been very good on the road overall this season. The lefty did have one of his better starts away from home on June 26th when he limited the Miami Marlins to one run and three hits over seven innings, but overall has a 5.26 road ERA. Corbin, who has allowed a total of four runs over his last four turns, has surrendered four runs over 13 innings in two starts against the Phillies this season.
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Corbin will face another hot pitcher in Nola, who went 2-1 with a 0.61 ERA while striking out 34 across 29.2 innings over his last four starts leading up to the All-Star Break. He held the Mets to two runs (one earned) on three hits and three walks in 6.2 innings on Sunday. The Phillies have lost the last four games Nola has started against Washington and the 2018 All-Star allowed 17 runs over 21.1 innings in those outings.
Both of these pitchers have been outstanding lately and the Phillies are really struggling to score some runs. Four of the last five meetings have gone under and I think the offenses are going to have a tough time reaching the total in this one.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 92-61 +2128 units on the season after a 6-0 run!
Pick: UNDER 8.5 +105
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BETTING TRENDS:
Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 8-1 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Nationals are 13-3 in their last 16 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Nationals are 21-6 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. National League East.
Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 20-7 in their last 27 overall.
Nationals are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Nationals are 20-8 in their last 28 games following a win.
Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 Saturday games.
Nationals are 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 starts.
Nationals are 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 starts on grass.
Nationals are 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Nationals are 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Nationals are 1-4 in Corbin’s last 5 road starts.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Phillies are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 1-10 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 5-0 in Nola’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Phillies are 5-1 in Nola’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts.
Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts on grass.
Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 25-8 in Nola’s last 33 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Phillies are 6-2 in Nola’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Phillies are 11-4 in Nola’s last 15 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 26-10 in Nola’s last 36 home starts.
Phillies are 20-8 in Nola’s last 28 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League East.
Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 overall.
Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 on grass.
Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games following a win.
Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 road starts.
Under is 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-0 in Phillies last 7 games following a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League East.
Over is 16-6 in Phillies last 22 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-1-1 in Nola’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 6-1 in Nola’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 6-1 in Nola’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-2-1 in Nola’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 4-1-1 in Nola’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 11-3-1 in Nola’s last 15 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 9-3-1 in Nola’s last 13 Saturday starts.
Under is 3-1-1 in Nola’s last 5 home starts.
Over is 13-5-1 in Nola’s last 19 starts on grass.
Over is 13-5-1 in Nola’s last 19 starts overall.
Under is 15-7-3 in Nola’s last 25 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Nationals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.
Under is 7-3 in Nola’s last 10 starts vs. Nationals.
Phillies are 1-4 in Nola’s last 5 home starts vs. Nationals.
Phillies are 0-4 in Nola’s last 4 starts vs. Nationals.
