Washington (47-34) at St Louis (39-41)
When: Sunday, July 2nd 2017
Where: Busch Stadium, St Louis, MO
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Washington -116/7.5
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The surging St. Louis Cardinals go for their fifth straight victory and a three-game sweep of the league’s best road team when they host the Washington Nationals on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. St. Louis allowed 139 runs in June – its highest mark since May 2012 – while Washington finished the month with an NL-best 161 runs and entered the weekend with a 25-15 record away from their home park. Mike Leake silenced Washington’s bats in the 8-1 victory on Friday night with eight innings of one-run ball and Michael Wacha followed that up with a season-high nine strikeouts over six innings en route to a 2-1 win on Saturday. The Nationals’ 3-5 hitters (Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman and Daniel Murphy, who all are batting over .300 with at least 14 homers and 55 RBIs) are a combined 5-for-20 with no RBIs through he first two games in this series. Washington has scored exactly one run in each of its last three meetings with the Cardinals – all losses – after totaling 22 en route to winning the first two games of the season series. Both offenses will have their work cut out for them once again on Sunday as two of the NL’s top four ERA leaders square off when Max Scherzer (first) opposes Carlos Martinez (fourth). St. Louis C Yadier Molina went 1-for-2 on Saturday to extend his hitting streak to a career high-tying 16 games.
Pitchers: Nationals – Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.06 ERA) | Cardinals – Carlos Martinez (6-6, 2.88)
Scherzer earned his ninth win of the season on Tuesday against the Chicago Cubs, allowing one run and just two hits while striking out six over six innings of work. It was the first time in seven starts he failed to record at least 10 strikeouts. Scherzer leads the majors in strike outs with 151 and WHIP (0.78) and has allowed just six earned runs and 22 hits over his last seven starts spanning 54 innings. Scherzer struck out 10 in six innings during a loss to St. Louis on April 12th, falling to 1-4 with a 3.14 ERA in seven career starts versus the Cardinals.
Martinez received a no-decision on Tuesday in Arizona despite recording his fourth consecutive quality start, yielding two runs on four hits and three walks while striking out 10 in six innings. Martinez has pitched at least six innings in 12 consecutive outings and registered at least 10 strikeouts four times this season. Martinez’s only start in five appearances versus Washington was a head-to-head battle against Scherzer in May 2016 and resulted in a loss after he allowed four runs despite striking out eight in 6.2 innings.
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We called the under last night and we’re going to go right back to that again. The Nats are struggling right now on offense and I don’t see St. Louis getting much of anything against Scherzer.
Pick: Under 7.5 -120
W/L TRENDS
| Washington |
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Nationals are 37-17 in their last 54 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
- Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Scherzer’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Scherzer’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 9-2 in Scherzer’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 17-5 in Scherzer’s last 22 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Nationals are 16-5 in Scherzer’s last 21 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 6-2 in Scherzer’s last 8 Sunday starts.
- Nationals are 23-8 in Scherzer’s last 31 road starts.
- Nationals are 19-7 in Scherzer’s last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Nationals are 24-9 in Scherzer’s last 33 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 24-9 in Scherzer’s last 33 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 23-9 in Scherzer’s last 32 starts.
- Nationals are 23-9 in Scherzer’s last 32 starts on grass.
- Nationals are 1-4 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
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| St. Louis |
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Cardinals are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. National League East.
- Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in Martinez’s last 6 home starts.
- Cardinals are 9-4 in Martinez’s last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 11-5 in Martinez’s last 16 starts vs. National League East.
- Cardinals are 35-16 in Martinez’s last 51 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Cardinals are 17-8 in Martinez’s last 25 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| Washington |
- Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 Sunday games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-3-1 in Nationals last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 34-13-5 in Nationals last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Nationals last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Scherzer’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-1 in Scherzer’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 7-1 in Scherzer’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Scherzer’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Scherzer’s last 14 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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| St. Louis |
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 17-5-1 in Cardinals last 23 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last 9 games following a win.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last 9 home games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 34-13-4 in Cardinals last 51 Sunday games.
- Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Martinez’s last 4 Sunday starts.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Martinez’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 home starts.
- Under is 6-2 in Martinez’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Martinez’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in Martinez’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Martinez’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3 in Martinez’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Martinez’s last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4-2 in Martinez’s last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 1-0-3 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis.
- Over is 8-3-4 in the last 15 meetings.
- Nationals are 7-23 in the last 30 meetings in St. Louis.
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