Missouri vs Utah Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [11/16/17]

Missouri (2-0) at Utah (2-0)
When: Thursday, November 16th 2017
Where: Huntsman Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Time: 8:00 ET | TV: Pac-12 Network
Opening Odds: Utah -2.5/146

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Two teams that will probably be hanging around the NCAA Tournament bubble all season will meet in an early-season non-conference matchup from Salt Lake City as the Utah Utes host the Missouri Tigers on Thursday night. Both teams have cruised to double-digit victories in their first two games apiece, but will get tested tonight. Utah will be playing its third straight home games after taking care of Southwestern Athletic Conference foes Prairie View A&M (83-62) and Mississippi Valley State (91-51). Missouri, who is just outside the Top 25 Polls, will likely be missing a key piece in freshman forward Michael Porter Jr., a projected NBA Draft lottery pick, who reportedly aggravated an unspecified hip/leg injury less than two minutes into the Tigers’ 74-59 season-opening win over Iowa State last week. He was not with the team on Monday night in the 99-55 triumph over Wagner. First-year Missouri coach Cuonzo Martin said after the game that Porter remains under evaluation from the team’s medical staff and didn’t know if he would make the trip to Salt Lake. The teams will be meeting for only the second time since 1950 with the only other contest being an 86-79 Utah first round win in the 1978 NCAA Tournament.


With Porter out, Kassius Robertson, a senior transfer from Canisius, and freshmen forwards Jeremiah Tilmon and Jontay Porter, Michael’s brother, have picked-up the slack. Robertson scored a game-high 23 points against Wagner and leads the team with 17.0 per game while Tilmon is averaging 10.5 points and 4.5 rebounds and Jontay Porter is contributing 8.0 points and a team-high 3.5 assists and 6.0 rebounds. Returning upperclassmen Kevin Puryear (14.5 points) and Jordan Barnett (14.0) are the others averaging in double figures for Missouri, which is shooting 60.2% after two games, good for seventh nationally. The only concern thus far for the Tigers is that they’ve turned the ball over 33 times in two games.

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Senior Gabe Bealer, who is coming back from a broken foot suffered this summer, scored a career-high 20 points, including six 3-pointers, and grabbed seven rebounds against Mississippi Valley State and is one of four Utes averaging double figures. Guard Sedrick Barefield scored a team-high 22 points and had four assists against Prairie View, but then missed Monday’s game with the stomach flu, according to head coach Larry Krystkowiak. Frontcourt mates Tyler Rawson and David Collette are averaging a combined 25.5 points and 15.5 rebounds for the Utes, who have also struggles with turnovers (35). Seven-footer Jayce Johnson, expected to be a key contributor off the bench, has not played so far due to an ankle injury.


This is one of these games that the selection committee will look at come March. I expect a back and forth affair, but with Michael Porter being out, it gives the edge to Utah. The Utes defense should cool-down the sizzling Tigers shooting and come away with the victory.

Pick: Utah -3

  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Tigers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
  • Tigers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southeastern.
  • Utes are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.
  • Utes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
  • Utes are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Utes are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
  • Over is 12-3 in Tigers last 15 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 11-3 in Tigers last 14 vs. Pacific-12.
  • Over is 17-5 in Tigers last 22 road games.
  • Over is 20-6 in Tigers last 26 Thursday games.
  • Over is 19-7 in Tigers last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 19-7 in Tigers last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 20-8 in Tigers last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 5-1 in Utes last 6 home games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Utes last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Utes last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Over is 15-6 in Utes last 21 non-conference games.