Mavs vs Heat Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – Game 2 – June 2nd, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for Thursday’s Game 2 of the 2011 NBA Finals between the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat opened up the same as it did for Game 1, -4.5 in favor of the Heat at Bdg.eu and the total was set at 186. That’s 2 points lower than the Game 1 total. The spread has not moved as of Wednesday night and the total has inched up to 186.5. So far, 52% of the betting public is on Miami and 60% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Mavericks are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
Mavericks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 6-2 in Mavericks last 8 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games.
Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mavericks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
My Prediction: After a sluggish first half against the Mavs in Game 1, the Heat made the necessary adjustments in the 2nd half and coasted to a 9 point win. I was originally going to take the Mavericks to split the first 2 games, but I really think the Heat, especially at home, are a much better team and Lebron really wants this. Dirk Nowitzki can’t do this alone. He needs everyone to step up if they want to take any games on the road. The Heat will come out of the gate stronger than they did in Game 1 and should win this game easily.