Seattle (2-1) at San Francisco (2-2)
When: Tuesday, April 3rd 2018
Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Time: 4:35 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: San Francisco -145/8
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The San Francisco Giants offense is off to a historic start to the season – and its not good. They set a franchise record for fewest runs scored in the first four games of a season, but somehow, they manged to split those contests with the Los Angeles Dodgers. They will try and get the offense going when they open their home schedule Tuesday afternoon against the Seattle Mariners. Joe Panik blasted a solo home run in each of the first two games to beat L.A. 1-0, but the Giants failed to score a run in the next two in shutout losses. Offseason acquisition Evan Longoria is 0-for-15 to start the season, as the Giants were outscored 14-2. Seattle will be on the road for their next eight games after taking two of three from Cleveland to open the season at Safeco Field behind the hot bats of Mitch Haniger (5-for-8, two home runs) and Robinson Cano (6-for-10). Ichiro Suzuki (2-for-9 this season) has 3,082 hits and needs 29 to pass Dave Winfield and move into 20th on the all-time list. Giants’ catcher Buster Posey is 4-for-13 to start the season as he looks to become the fourth catcher in baseball history to record seven consecutive years with 150 or more hits (Jason Kendall, Mike Piazza, Ted Simmons). The Mariners’ Marco Gonzalez and Ty Blach will take the mound today, and know each other well from their travel-team days in Colorado. Seattle leads the all-time interleague series 16-13.
Pitchers: Mariners – Marco Gonzales (2017: 1-1, 6.08 ERA) | Giants – Ty Blach (1-0, 0.00)
Gonzales is appearing on an Opening Day roster for the first time in his career and came over to Seattle after one start for St. Louis last season. He went 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA in 10 games (seven starts) for the Mariners, and 4-2 with a 4.15 ERA in 10 games (five starts) with the Cardinals in 2014 before he missed most of 2015 with shoulder injuries and all of 2016 while recovering from Tommy John surgery. Gonzales looked good in the Cactus League, allowing six runs and 22 hits while striking out 21 in 26 innings.
Blach allowed just three hits and three walks while striking out three in five innings of a 1-0 victory over Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers in Los Angeles on Thursday. Blach has been at his best at AT&T Park, going 6-5 with a 3.83 in 19 home games (14 starts) versus 4-7, 4.86 in 20 outings (13 starts) away from home.
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I’m going to give the slight edge to the Giants in this one based on the pitching matchup. San Fran’s offense won’t stay down for long and the home opener might get things going.
Pick: Giants -120
BETTING TRENDS:
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games.
- Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 games following an off day.
- Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Giants are 16-35 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Giants are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
- Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 4-0 in Blach’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Giants are 5-11 in Blach’s last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 1-4 in Blach’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Giants are 1-5 in Blach’s last 6 starts.
- Giants are 1-5 in Blach’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Mariners last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Mariners last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Mariners last 8 on grass.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Mariners last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Mariners last 8 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Mariners last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 games following an off day.
- Over is 3-1-2 in Mariners last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 9-3 in Mariners last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 12-4-1 in Mariners last 17 interleague road games.
- Over is 48-19-4 in Mariners last 71 Tuesday games.
- Over is 10-4-2 in Mariners last 16 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 31-15-5 in Mariners last 51 interleague games.
- Over is 6-1 in Gonzales’ last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Gonzales’ last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Gonzales’ last 5 road starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games following an off day.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 9-1-1 in Giants last 11 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 8-2 in Giants last 10 Tuesday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Giants last 10 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Giants last 8 interleague home games.
- Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Blach’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Blach’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2-3 in Blach’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Mariners are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
