British Columbia (3-0) at Toronto (2-0)
When: Monday, July 3rd 2023
Where: BMO Field,
Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:00 ET | TV: ESPN+
Opening Odds: British Columbia -1/47
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CFL fans will celebrate Canada Day this Monday with an undefeated matchup between the British Columbia Lions and Toronto Argonauts at BMO Field. It not a surprise that one of the preseason favorites to take home the Grey Cup are doing well. B.C. has rolled through their first three opponents by a combined score of 77-21 after last week’s 30-6 win at Winnipeg. Now comes another tough road contest against the surprising Argos.
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Toronto is 2-0 after a 43-31 road win at Edmonton. The game was not as close as the final score indicated, as the Elks scored two late touchdowns. Toronto has covered four straight dating back to last season and are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight against teams with a winning record. The Argonauts racked up 458 total yards in Edmonton including a whopping 194 on the ground.
The home team has dominated this series of late, winning six of the last seven. Each team won at home in 2022 and both games went Under. Actually, these teams play a lot of low-scoring games against each other. In the last 35 meetings, the Under has cashed 25 times including 17 of the last 21 in Toronto.
The Blue Bombers were the betting favorites to begin the season, but B.C. took over that mantle with last week’s dominating win 30-6 on the road. The Lions defense held Winnipeg to just eight first downs and recorded seven sacks. B.C. leads the league in total defense and points allowed, while ranking fourth in points scored. Quarterback Vernon Adams, Jr. is completing 72.7 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and two picks. His favorite target is Alexander Hollins, who has 19 catches for 221 yards.
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The Toronto passing attack has not looked great under Chad Kelly thus far. He’s completing just 58.7 percent of his passes with one touchdown and two interceptions. The defense has allowed 45 points on the season, but a lot has come in garbage time. They allowed 14 to Hamilton in the fourth quarter in Week 2 and 14 to the Elks in the final quarter of Week 3. The Argos will have a chance if they can keep Kelly upright against the Lions.
B.C. has clearly looked like the best team in the league so far, but it’s a long season and this is their third road game in four weeks. Toronto took care of business against two poor teams, but I think they’ll be up to the task here today.
Pick: Toronto +1.5