Georgia (10-1) vs LSU (12-0)
When: Saturday, December 7th 2019
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium,
Atlanta, GA
Time: 4:00 ET | TV: CBS
Opening Odds: LSU -3.5/58
The objective is quite simple for the Georgia Bulldogs. Beat the LSU Tigers and you’re in the College Football Playoffs. Now, there are some wild scenarios that could put Georgia in if they lose, but it’s unlikely. The objective is a lot easier said than done, as the Bulldogs prepare to face the undefeated and top-ranked Tigers in the SEC Championship Game on Saturday afternoon in Atlanta. The key matchup will be Georgia’s stout defense against LSU’s potent offense. The Tigers are second in the nation in scoring offense at 48.7 points while the No. 4 Bulldogs rank second in scoring defense at 10.4 points. The LSU offense is run by likely Heisman winner and senior quarterback Joe Burrow, who is the first player in SEC history to pass for 4,000 yards (4,366 yards) and at least 40 touchdowns (44). The Bulldogs are one of two teams in the nation (Clemson) to not allow more than 20 points in a game this season. They also only allow 71 yards per game on the ground – second nationally and are fourth in total defense (257 yards). These teams met for the first time in five seasons last year and Burrow passed for 200 yards and a touchdown while Edwards-Helaire rushed for 145 yards in LSU’s 36-16 triumph in Baton Rouge.
The big question is whether or not the Georgia offense can keep up with LSU should the defense fail. Overall, they’re ranked 53rd in the nation in total offense at 421.5 yards a game led by junior quarterback Jake Fromm, who has passed for 2,385 yards and 21 touchdowns against only three interceptions. He will be without receiver Lawrence Cager (ankle surgery) while leading receiver freshman George Pickens is suspended for the first half Saturday. Junior running back D’Andre Swift ranks fourth in the conference in rushing yards (1,203) with seven touchdowns, but left last week’s win over Georgia Tech with a left shoulder injury and is probable for Saturday. Linebacker Monty Rice leads the team with 79 tackles and Georgia has only surrendered 11 passing touchdowns in 11 games.
Edwards-Helaire leads the conference in rushing touchdowns (16) and is third in rushing yards (1,234), making the Tigers a threat on the ground as well. Burrow, who passed for 352 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s rout of Texas A&M, ranks second nationally in passing yards, touchdowns, passing yards per game (363.8) and passing efficiency (203). Talented receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson have combined for 151 receptions, over 2,500 yards and 30 touchdowns. The defense has been exposed at times, but still ranks 35th in the country overall and allow 22.1 points a game.
Georgia can certainly play defense but they will meet their match on Saturday. LSU can be unstoppable at times and I don’t think the Bulldogs can keep up.
Pick: LSU -7 (Championship Week Free Picks)
Betting Trends:
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Bulldogs are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 14-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Tigers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games in December.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 conference games.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 3-0-1 in Bulldogs last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 conference games.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 2-0-2 in Bulldogs last 4 neutral site games.
Under is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 9-2 in Bulldogs last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 10-3-1 in Bulldogs last 14 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 11-4-1 in Bulldogs last 16 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 24-9-1 in Bulldogs last 34 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 neutral site games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Over is 15-5-1 in Tigers last 21 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Tigers last 12 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 11-4 in Tigers last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 10-4-1 in Tigers last 15 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
