Falcons vs Lions Free Pick and Trends – Week 3 [2017]

Atlanta (2-0) at Detroit (2-0)
When: Sunday, September 24th 2017
Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Time: 1:00 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Atlanta -3/49

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It’s a battle of undefeated dome teams as the Detroit Lions host the Atlanta Falcons in a Week 3 battle from Ford Field. This will be Atlanta’s third game against an NFC North opponent as they took care of the Chicago Bears in Week 1 and Green Bay Packers last Sunday night. The Lions are 2-0 for the first time since 2011 and have been surprisingly tough on defense, especially against the run. Detroit ranks fourth against the run but has been susceptible versus the pass despite putting pressure on the quarterback. Atlanta’s balanced offense, which is led by quarterback Matt Ryan and running back Devonta Freeman, will provide a huge test for the Lions. Ryan has owned the Lions recently, throwing for 507 yards and six touchdowns against one interception in the last two meetings.

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Atlanta’s offense hasn’t exploded like they did last season (yet), but they’ve been very efficient and have yet to commit a turnover. After a poor rushing effort against Chicago in Week 1, the Falcons got the ground game going against Green Bay as Freeman rushed for 84 yards and two touchdowns. Ryan has thrown a touchdown pass in 21 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the league. Atlanta’s defense relies on a strong pass rush but will be without its top man in Vic Beasley Jr., who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. The Falcons have a very top-heavy schedule with their first division game not coming until November 5th. They will host Buffalo next week before going on their bye.

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The Lions are coming off a nice Monday night victory over the New York Giants. Matthew Stafford has passed for just 414 yards through two games but is tied for the league lead with six touchdown tosses. They are trying to get the ground game going and Ameer Abdullah recorded a career-high 86 rushing yards in Monday’s 24-10 win over the Giants. In his past 15 home games, Stafford has averaged 276.6 passing yards with 32 touchdowns and six interceptions, while WR Golden Tate has recorded at least six receptions in his last three at Ford Field. The Lions will be in Minnesota next week for a pivotal division game.

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It appears that the Falcons are not suffering from a Super Bowl losing hangover, especially the way they lost that game. They seem very determined and focused to get back there. The Lions two wins came against teams that don’t appear to be very good and their secondary could get scorched here today. The Falcons have covered the last four meetings with Detroit and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six trips to the Motor City.

Pick: Falcons -3

  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
  • Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
  • Falcons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
  • Falcons are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Lions are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.
  • Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
  • Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
  • Lions are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 3.
  • Lions are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Lions are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 8-0-1 in Falcons last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in Falcons last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 6-0-1 in Falcons last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games in Week 3.
  • Over is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 13-2-1 in Falcons last 16 vs. NFC.
  • Over is 17-3-1 in Falcons last 21 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games in September.
  • Over is 13-3 in Falcons last 16 games on fieldturf.
  • Over is 12-3-1 in Falcons last 16 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Falcons last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 53-24-4 in Falcons last 81 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-0 in Lions last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 7-0 in Lions last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 10-3 in Lions last 13 games overall.
  • Under is 10-3 in Lions last 13 games on fieldturf.
  • Under is 21-7 in Lions last 28 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2 in Lions last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 8-3 in Lions last 11 vs. NFC.
  • Over is 33-15-3 in Lions last 51 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Falcons are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Detroit.
  • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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